LineCrush Graded Pick Record

As of October 17, 2026 (Pacific time)

Since yesterday, from October 16 games: Noise picks went 3-1-0 (+1.2u, +30.6% ROI).

Best picks (Optimal Strategy): 7-8-0 (-1.3u, -8.6% ROI, avg odds +115) from October 16 games (3 still grading). These are the picks the LineCrushBot Favs leaderboard account tracks, selected by LineCrush's live pick strategy.

LineCrush only recommends Signal picks. Everything else on this page is tracked and graded for transparency, not recommended.

See today's picks

Last 7 Days2026-10-10 to 2026-10-16

Best picks (LineCrushBot Favs)

Pick setW-L-PWin %Avg OddsUnitsROIEdge vs Random
Best picks (Optimal Strategy)44-60-042.3%+108-18.4u-17.7%-5.2 pts

The pick set selected by LineCrush's live pick strategy: the same picks the LineCrushBot Favs leaderboard account tracks publicly and the Bot Favs filter shows on the Picks page, tracked from the moment each pick is generated and graded automatically with losses included. 3 tracked picks in this window are still grading.

By pick tier and model

Tier / ModelW-L-PWin %Avg OddsUnitsROIEdge vs Random
Signal picks (recommended)17-16-151.5%+104+0.4u+1.1%+13.6 pts
Signal · V4 model13-12-152.0%+107+0.9u+3.5%+16.0 pts
Signal · V2 model3-4-042.9%-103-1.3u-18.2%-5.7 pts
Signal · V1 model1-0-0100.0%-133+0.8u+75.2%+87.7 pts
Noise picks (not recommended)172-172-250.0%+114+0.6u+0.2%+12.7 pts
Noise · V2 model172-172-250.0%+114+0.6u+0.2%+12.7 pts

Signal picks by sport (recommended)

SportW-L-PWin %Avg OddsUnitsROIEdge vs Random
All Signal picks17-16-151.5%+104+0.4u+1.1%+13.6 pts
NFL11-11-050.0%+107+0.6u+2.7%+15.2 pts
NBA2-3-040.0%+106-1.2u-24.8%-12.3 pts
MLB Batters3-1-075.0%+103+1.8u+45.0%+57.5 pts
Tennis1-1-050.0%+108-0.8u-38.6%-26.1 pts
Boxing0-0-1–-3550.0u0.0%+12.5 pts

Noise picks by sport (not recommended)

SportW-L-PWin %Avg OddsUnitsROIEdge vs Random
All Noise picks172-172-250.0%+114+0.6u+0.2%+12.7 pts
NFL67-74-047.5%+133-3.1u-2.2%+10.3 pts
MLB Batters27-33-045.0%+112-3.5u-5.8%+6.7 pts
NBA21-26-044.7%-103-7.1u-15.2%-2.7 pts
Tennis23-14-062.2%-113+5.4u+14.7%+27.2 pts
NHL16-13-055.2%-102+2.3u+8.0%+20.5 pts
MLB Pitchers9-7-056.3%-106+1.0u+6.3%+18.8 pts
MMA5-3-162.5%+104+1.9u+20.7%+33.2 pts
Boxing4-2-166.7%+123+3.7u+52.5%+65.0 pts

Team picks (moneyline, spread, totals)

MarketW-L-PWin %
All team picks178-159-252.8%
Moneyline39-31-055.7%
Spread53-45-254.1%
Total86-83-050.9%
SportW-L-PWin %
CFB60-50-154.5%
NHL59-43-057.8%
NBA35-45-043.8%
NFL15-14-151.7%
MLB9-7-056.3%

Priced at captured odds (publish-time since August 22, 2026; verified opening or publish-time market odds for earlier leans): 330 of 339 picks in this window, +4.7u at flat one-unit stakes, +1.4% ROI, average odds -109.

Team picks are the team leans LineCrush publishes on its Games page: typically one side lean (moneyline or spread) plus one totals lean per game, refreshed on game-day morning with the latest vibe context. They are graded automatically against final scores. Since August 22, 2026 the odds for each lean are captured when it is published, using the best available book price whenever it can be verified for the exact lean and line, otherwise the market price; earlier leans are priced retroactively from verified opening or publish-time market odds for the same lean and line. Units, ROI, and average odds cover only the priced picks; leans whose odds could not be verified show in the win-loss record only. Team leans are a separate pick class: they are not Signal picks, and LineCrush only recommends Signal picks.

Night Before vs Morning

Tier · Pick timingW-L-PWin %Avg OddsUnitsROIEdge vs Random
Signal · Night Before15-20-142.9%-102-6.6u-18.2%-5.7 pts
Signal · Morning20-24-145.5%+100-5.9u-13.2%-0.7 pts
Noise · Night Before173-187-248.1%+123-16.9u-4.7%+7.8 pts
Noise · Morning210-238-346.9%+123-23.2u-5.1%+7.4 pts

Taking Signal Morning picks instead of their Night Before versions gained 5.0 ROI percentage points in this window.

Taking Noise Morning picks instead of their Night Before versions gave up 0.5 ROI percentage points in this window.

Last 30 Days2026-09-17 to 2026-10-16

Best picks (LineCrushBot Favs)

Pick setW-L-PWin %Avg OddsUnitsROIEdge vs Random
Best picks (Optimal Strategy)411-446-248.0%+112-36.9u-4.3%+8.2 pts

The pick set selected by LineCrush's live pick strategy: the same picks the LineCrushBot Favs leaderboard account tracks publicly and the Bot Favs filter shows on the Picks page, tracked from the moment each pick is generated and graded automatically with losses included. 19 tracked picks in this window are still grading.

By pick tier and model

Tier / ModelW-L-PWin %Avg OddsUnitsROIEdge vs Random
Signal picks (recommended)213-220-249.2%+105-5.0u-1.1%+11.4 pts
Signal · V4 model122-125-149.4%+110+2.3u+0.9%+13.4 pts
Signal · V2 model86-88-149.4%-100-4.6u-2.6%+9.9 pts
Signal · V1 model5-7-041.7%-113-2.7u-22.4%-9.9 pts
Noise picks (not recommended)709-703-650.2%+116-10.5u-0.7%+11.8 pts
Noise · V4 model3-1-075.0%-1190-0.7u-18.3%-5.9 pts
Noise · V2 model706-702-650.1%+116-9.7u-0.7%+11.8 pts

Signal picks by sport (recommended)

SportW-L-PWin %Avg OddsUnitsROIEdge vs Random
All Signal picks213-220-249.2%+105-5.0u-1.1%+11.4 pts
NFL122-121-050.2%+102+5.7u+2.3%+14.8 pts
WNBA45-30-060.0%-100+15.3u+20.4%+32.9 pts
MLB Pitchers26-32-044.8%+104-6.5u-11.2%+1.3 pts
Tennis6-15-128.6%+121-11.0u-50.2%-37.7 pts
MLB Batters8-10-044.4%+127-2.9u-16.0%-3.5 pts
MMA3-8-027.3%+150-4.9u-44.4%-31.9 pts
NBA2-3-040.0%+106-1.2u-24.8%-12.3 pts
Boxing1-1-150.0%-124+0.6u+19.0%+31.5 pts

Noise picks by sport (not recommended)

SportW-L-PWin %Avg OddsUnitsROIEdge vs Random
All Noise picks709-703-650.2%+116-10.5u-0.7%+11.8 pts
NFL213-239-047.1%+125-19.5u-4.3%+8.2 pts
MLB Batters185-176-051.2%+135+27.6u+7.7%+20.2 pts
Tennis91-73-355.5%-127-10.1u-6.1%+6.4 pts
WNBA63-82-043.4%+103-18.6u-12.8%-0.3 pts
MLB Pitchers68-67-050.4%-103-3.3u-2.4%+10.1 pts
NHL39-24-061.9%+102+13.2u+20.9%+33.4 pts
NBA21-27-043.8%-102-8.1u-16.9%-4.4 pts
MMA20-9-269.0%+100+7.6u+24.6%+37.1 pts
Boxing9-6-160.0%+219+0.8u+4.7%+17.2 pts

Team picks (moneyline, spread, totals)

MarketW-L-PWin %
All team picks738-667-2052.5%
Moneyline139-103-057.4%
Spread242-221-952.3%
Total357-343-1151.0%
SportW-L-PWin %
CFB245-253-649.2%
MLB192-153-1155.7%
NHL134-106-055.8%
NFL70-55-356.0%
NBA51-55-048.1%
WNBA46-45-050.5%

Priced at captured odds (publish-time since August 22, 2026; verified opening or publish-time market odds for earlier leans): 1256 of 1425 picks in this window, +14.1u at flat one-unit stakes, +1.1% ROI, average odds -108.

Team picks are the team leans LineCrush publishes on its Games page: typically one side lean (moneyline or spread) plus one totals lean per game, refreshed on game-day morning with the latest vibe context. They are graded automatically against final scores. Since August 22, 2026 the odds for each lean are captured when it is published, using the best available book price whenever it can be verified for the exact lean and line, otherwise the market price; earlier leans are priced retroactively from verified opening or publish-time market odds for the same lean and line. Units, ROI, and average odds cover only the priced picks; leans whose odds could not be verified show in the win-loss record only. Team leans are a separate pick class: they are not Signal picks, and LineCrush only recommends Signal picks.

Night Before vs Morning

Tier · Pick timingW-L-PWin %Avg OddsUnitsROIEdge vs Random
Signal · Night Before222-217-250.6%+110+11.3u+2.6%+15.1 pts
Signal · Morning255-277-247.9%+106-17.0u-3.2%+9.3 pts
Noise · Night Before752-803-848.4%+120-84.8u-5.4%+7.1 pts
Noise · Morning937-1008-1048.2%+123-78.3u-4.0%+8.5 pts

Taking Signal Morning picks instead of their Night Before versions gave up 5.7 ROI percentage points in this window.

Taking Noise Morning picks instead of their Night Before versions gained 1.4 ROI percentage points in this window.

Past 3 Months2026-07-19 to 2026-10-16

Best picks (LineCrushBot Favs)

Pick setW-L-PWin %Avg OddsUnitsROIEdge vs Random
Best picks (Optimal Strategy)753-773-549.3%+126-14.4u-0.9%+11.6 pts

The pick set selected by LineCrush's live pick strategy: the same picks the LineCrushBot Favs leaderboard account tracks publicly and the Bot Favs filter shows on the Picks page, tracked from the moment each pick is generated and graded automatically with losses included. 19 tracked picks in this window are still grading. Best-picks tracking began with July 29 games, so this window covers picks from that date on.

By pick tier and model

Tier / ModelW-L-PWin %Avg OddsUnitsROIEdge vs Random
Signal picks (recommended)783-756-650.9%+109+11.7u+0.8%+13.3 pts
Signal · V4 model334-352-448.7%+112-24.4u-3.5%+9.0 pts
Signal · V2 model366-339-251.9%+107+19.1u+2.7%+15.2 pts
Signal · V1 model83-65-056.1%+100+17.0u+11.5%+24.0 pts
Noise picks (not recommended)2230-2253-949.7%+115-144.0u-3.2%+9.3 pts
Noise · V4 model15-3-083.3%-662-1.4u-7.9%+4.6 pts
Noise · V2 model2215-2250-949.6%+115-142.5u-3.2%+9.3 pts

Signal picks by sport (recommended)

SportW-L-PWin %Avg OddsUnitsROIEdge vs Random
All Signal picks783-756-650.9%+109+11.7u+0.8%+13.3 pts
WNBA259-232-052.7%+104+29.0u+5.9%+18.4 pts
MLB Pitchers216-221-049.4%+102-11.9u-2.7%+9.8 pts
NFL155-151-050.7%+102+8.0u+2.6%+15.1 pts
Tennis72-67-251.8%+124-5.3u-3.8%+8.7 pts
MLB Batters51-59-046.4%+124-7.0u-6.4%+6.1 pts
MMA22-15-159.5%+116+4.4u+11.5%+24.0 pts
Boxing6-8-342.9%+293-4.2u-24.8%-12.3 pts
NBA2-3-040.0%+106-1.2u-24.8%-12.3 pts

Noise picks by sport (not recommended)

SportW-L-PWin %Avg OddsUnitsROIEdge vs Random
All Noise picks2230-2253-949.7%+115-144.0u-3.2%+9.3 pts
MLB Batters982-1035-048.7%+124-48.4u-2.4%+10.1 pts
MLB Pitchers366-362-050.3%-101-7.2u-1.0%+11.5 pts
NFL258-293-046.8%+123-30.2u-5.5%+7.0 pts
Tennis278-230-554.7%+106-24.8u-4.8%+7.7 pts
WNBA196-236-045.4%+101-43.1u-10.0%+2.5 pts
MMA43-27-361.4%+104+5.8u+7.9%+20.4 pts
Boxing47-19-171.2%+130-1.0u-1.6%+10.9 pts
NHL39-24-061.9%+102+13.2u+20.9%+33.4 pts
NBA21-27-043.8%-102-8.1u-16.9%-4.4 pts

Team picks (moneyline, spread, totals)

MarketW-L-PWin %
All team picks1739-1553-5152.8%
Moneyline528-413-056.1%
Spread383-339-1053.0%
Total828-801-4150.8%
SportW-L-PWin %
MLB1041-893-4153.8%
CFB245-253-649.2%
WNBA161-149-051.9%
NHL134-106-055.8%
NFL104-94-452.5%
NBA54-58-048.2%

Priced at captured odds (publish-time since August 22, 2026; verified opening or publish-time market odds for earlier leans): 3037 of 3343 picks in this window, +2.2u at flat one-unit stakes, +0.1% ROI, average odds -110.

Team picks are the team leans LineCrush publishes on its Games page: typically one side lean (moneyline or spread) plus one totals lean per game, refreshed on game-day morning with the latest vibe context. They are graded automatically against final scores. Since August 22, 2026 the odds for each lean are captured when it is published, using the best available book price whenever it can be verified for the exact lean and line, otherwise the market price; earlier leans are priced retroactively from verified opening or publish-time market odds for the same lean and line. Units, ROI, and average odds cover only the priced picks; leans whose odds could not be verified show in the win-loss record only. Team leans are a separate pick class: they are not Signal picks, and LineCrush only recommends Signal picks.

Night Before vs Morning

Tier · Pick timingW-L-PWin %Avg OddsUnitsROIEdge vs Random
Signal · Night Before827-864-1148.9%+118-44.1u-2.6%+9.9 pts
Signal · Morning1029-1051-1149.5%+119-8.1u-0.4%+12.1 pts
Noise · Night Before2251-2301-1749.5%+125-258.4u-5.7%+6.8 pts
Noise · Morning2922-3068-2248.8%+126-296.8u-4.9%+7.6 pts

Taking Signal Morning picks instead of their Night Before versions gained 2.2 ROI percentage points in this window.

Taking Noise Morning picks instead of their Night Before versions gained 0.7 ROI percentage points in this window.

How this record is graded

Every pick LineCrush publishes is graded automatically against the final result of its game or match. The record counts the final published version of each pick and scores it as a flat one-unit stake at the best available odds recorded when the pick was published: a win pays the listed odds, a loss costs one unit, and a push returns the stake. Win percentage excludes pushes. Avg Odds is the average of those best available opening prices, shown as American odds. ROI is net units divided by total units staked, counting pushes as staked units.

Edge vs Random compares each ROI with the roughly -12.5% ROI a user should expect from picking randomly at typical sportsbook odds, where the bookmaker's vig guarantees a long-run loss. A positive edge means the picks outperform random selection by that many percentage points.

These are published results, not a backtest. The page refreshes about once an hour as new games finish grading. LineCrush does not publish the model internals behind the picks; the graded output on this page is the complete public record of its recommended Signal picks and the tracked Noise tier across the counted sports.

Looking for the record of the picks LineCrush posts publicly on X? That smaller day-by-day set, graded at the exact odds quoted in each tweet, lives at linecrush.com/scorecard.

Frequently Asked Questions

Which picks are counted in this record?

The record covers the Signal and Noise confidence tiers, always shown separately: Signal is the only tier LineCrush recommends, and Noise is the broader consideration tier, tracked for transparency. Signal picks come from the V4, V2, and V1 models; Noise picks come from the V4 and V2 models only. It covers the final published version of each graded pick and includes every win, loss, and push with no outcome-based filtering. Static-tier picks and the V1 model's Noise-tier picks are not recommendations and are not counted on this page, and esports picks (VALORANT, CS2, Dota 2, League of Legends) and soccer picks (EPL, MLS, La Liga, Bundesliga, Serie A, Champions League) are excluded because LineCrush does not count them in its public record. Team picks (the moneyline, spread, and totals leans shown on the LineCrush Games page) are a separate pick class with their own table.

Does LineCrush recommend every pick shown here?

No. LineCrush only recommends Signal picks. Noise picks tend to be better than average and are worth a look, but they are noisier and are not recommendations; their record is published separately in every section so the two are never blended. Team leans are their own pick class and are not Signal recommendations either.

Are team picks (moneyline, spread, totals) included?

Yes, in their own separate table. LineCrush publishes team leans on its Games page: typically one side lean (moneyline or spread) plus one totals lean per game, refreshed on game-day morning with the latest vibe context. They are graded automatically against final scores. Since August 22, 2026 the odds for each lean are also captured when it is published (the best available book price whenever it can be verified for the exact lean and line, otherwise the market price); leans graded before capture began are priced retroactively, from the best opening book price verified for the same lean and line (or, for moneylines, the market price recorded when the lean was published). The priced portion of the record shows flat-stake units, ROI, and average odds; leans whose odds could not be verified show in the win-loss record only.

What do Signal and Noise mean?

They are LineCrush's confidence tiers. Signal is the highest-confidence tier and the only tier LineCrush recommends. Noise picks tend to be better than average and are worth consideration, but they are noisier and not straight recommendations.

What is the best picks (LineCrushBot Favs) record?

The best picks record covers the pick set selected by LineCrush's live pick strategy: a subset of the published picks, mostly from the Signal tier plus a small number of proven Noise-tier markets. It is exactly the set the LineCrushBot Favs account tracks publicly on the LineCrush leaderboard and the set the Bot Favs filter shows on the Picks page, so the three always match. Each pick is tracked from the moment it is generated, before its game starts. The line at the top of the page shows the most recent completed day, and each window section shows the same set's win-loss-push record, units, ROI, and average odds over that window. Like everything on this page, it is graded automatically with losses included and no outcome-based filtering; the strategy's selection rules themselves are not published. Public tracking began with July 29, 2026 games.

What does Night Before vs Morning compare?

LineCrush publishes each day's picks in batches: a night-before batch the previous evening and a refreshed morning batch on game day. The Night Before vs Morning table grades each timing's version of the day's picks, separately for the Signal and Noise tiers, so you can see the edge gained or lost by waiting for the morning refresh instead of taking the night-before picks. Each row is the board as it stood at that batch, so a pick published the night before and never refreshed still counts as its own morning version. Morning covers more picks than Night Before because it also includes everything the morning batch added.

How are units and ROI calculated?

Each pick is scored as a flat one-unit stake at the best available odds recorded when the pick was published. A win pays the odds, a loss costs one unit, and a push returns the stake. ROI is net units won divided by total units staked, counting one staked unit for every graded pick including pushes. For team picks, units and ROI cover only the picks with a captured and verified price (publish-time odds since August 22, 2026, verified opening or publish-time market odds before that).

What does Avg Odds mean?

Avg Odds is the average of the best available opening odds across the graded picks in a row, shown as American odds. It is the same average-odds calculation used on the LineCrush performance dashboard. A win rate only means something next to the odds it was achieved at: a 55% win rate is excellent at +110 but loses money at -150.

What does Edge vs Random mean?

Because sportsbooks charge vig, picking randomly at typical odds loses about 12.5% of the amount staked over time. Edge vs Random is the pick ROI minus that -12.5% baseline, in percentage points: a positive edge means the picks beat random selection even when their raw ROI is negative.

How often does this page update?

Picks are graded automatically against final results throughout the day, and this page refreshes about once an hour. Windows use Pacific-time calendar days and end with the most recent completed day.

Why might these numbers differ from other LineCrush pages?

Other LineCrush views, like the performance dashboard, can apply different filters, for example a single model, sport, or signal tier, and may include populations this page excludes (the Static tier and the V1 model's Noise-tier picks). This page covers the Signal tier from the V4, V2, and V1 models and the Noise tier from the V4 and V2 models, with losses included and no outcome filtering, so its totals can differ from any differently filtered view.

Does LineCrush publish how the picks are generated?

No. LineCrush publishes the graded results, not the model internals. The record on this page is the complete graded output of the recommended Signal tier and the tracked Noise tier across the counted sports.

Records by sport and model

MLB Batters · MLB Pitchers · NBA · NFL · NHL · WNBA · MMA · Boxing · Tennis · V4 Model · V2 Model · V1 Model