WNBA · July 23, 2025
Atlanta Dream @ Phoenix Mercury
Free LineCrush game report for Atlanta Dream @ Phoenix Mercury on July 23, 2025, with matchup analysis and pick ideas generated for the daily slate. Reports can update as lineups, injuries, and odds develop, so confirm time-sensitive details before acting.
Matchup Analysis
Emotional Homecoming for Griner
Brittney Griner returns to Phoenix for the first time as an opponent after spending over a decade with the Mercury. The organization is reviving her Heart and Sole Shoe Drive, creating a charged atmosphere that could energize the home team. Mercury players have openly expressed excitement about honoring her legacy, which may provide an emotional boost.
Injury Impact on Lineups
Phoenix faces significant absences with guard Monique Akoa Makani (concussion) ruled out and center Kalani Brown (knee) listed as probable. Atlanta suffers a major blow with All-Star Rhyne Howard (knee) out for the remainder of July. These absences will force both teams to adjust rotations, particularly affecting Atlanta's scoring and Phoenix's backcourt depth.
Mercury's Offensive Firepower vs. Defensive Questions
Phoenix (15-7, 2nd in West) leans on Kahleah Copper (21.1 PPG) and Satou Sabally (17.9 PPG) for scoring, but recent defensive inconsistencies persist. Atlanta must compensate for Howard's absence by elevating Allisha Gray (15.6 PPG) and Jordin Canada (10.6 PPG, 5.8 APG), though their offensive efficiency may struggle against Phoenix's high-tempo attack.
Roster Overhaul Dynamics
Phoenix features 11 new players this season, integrating veterans like Sami Whitcomb with stars Copper and Sabally. Atlanta returns core players Howard and Gray but misses Howard's two-way impact. The Mercury's continuity advantage (despite injuries) contrasts with Atlanta's challenge to regroup without their leading scorer.
Pick Ideas
Mercury -4.5 Spread
With Phoenix at home (15-7 record), Atlanta missing Howard, and the emotional Griner factor, the Mercury are positioned to cover a moderate spread. Their superior depth and Atlanta's scoring limitations without Howard support this play.
Under 165.5 Total Points
Atlanta's offense (depleted without Howard) and Phoenix's recent defensive lapses suggest a slower-paced game. Both teams may start cautiously amid the emotional atmosphere, with key injuries further suppressing scoring efficiency.
Kahleah Copper Over 21.5 Points
Copper (averaging 21.1 PPG) faces an Atlanta defense missing its best perimeter defender (Howard). With increased offensive responsibility amid Mercury injuries, she's likely to exceed her season average against a compromised Dream backcourt.