MMA · October 24, 2026 · 10:00 AM ET

Colby Thicknesse vs Asaf Chopurov

Free LineCrush game report for Colby Thicknesse vs Asaf Chopurov on October 24, 2026, with matchup analysis and pick ideas generated for the daily slate. Reports can update as lineups, injuries, and odds develop, so confirm time-sensitive details before acting.

Fight Odds

Moneyline

Colby Thicknesse+410DraftKings
Asaf Chopurov-550DraftKings

Moneyline from the calendar feed. Lines move; confirm at the book before acting.

Matchup Analysis

A decorated regional run meets a UFC debut

Chopurov arrives unbeaten at 11-0 and a former UAE Warriors bantamweight champion, with two title defenses reported this year. He has not yet been tested inside the UFC, so his regional accomplishments now face a different level of opposition.

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Thicknesse has shown he can rebound

After losing his UFC debut, Thicknesse won his next two bouts by unanimous decision, including his most recent fight against Vince Morales. That gives the Australian a record of navigating three-round UFC fights, even as he prepares for a new opponent profile.

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Both camps have elite bantamweight ties

Thicknesse trains alongside Alexander Volkanovski, while Chopurov trains with Petr Yan. Those high-level gym environments are an intriguing backdrop, but the matchup will hinge on how each fighter applies his own preparation on fight night.

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The distance battle is the tactical hinge

The preview's matchup read is clear: Thicknesse needs to manage range and avoid letting Chopurov close distance comfortably, while Chopurov can mix pressure with takedown threats. If Thicknesse cannot keep the fight at a measured pace, the contest may become more dangerous for him quickly.

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Scheduled for UFC 333 in Abu Dhabi

The bout is listed as a bantamweight contest on the UFC 333 card at Etihad Arena on October 24. It is currently listed on the early prelims; check the final event schedule for any timing changes.

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Pick Ideas

Shop the Chopurov moneyline

A current card preview lists Chopurov around -450, while another sportsbook listing has a different price; compare books rather than taking the first number available. At -450 the implied break-even rate is about 82%, so pass if the price is shorter than your estimate of his win probability.

Under 1.5 rounds, but price-sensitive

One published market lists Under 1.5 rounds at 1.84, which implies a break-even probability of roughly 54%. Consider it only if your own estimate clears that threshold; otherwise the listed price does not offer a clear edge.

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