MMA · October 24, 2026 · 10:00 AM ET

Jacob Malkoun vs Abubakar Vagaev

Free LineCrush game report for Jacob Malkoun vs Abubakar Vagaev on October 24, 2026, with matchup analysis and pick ideas generated for the daily slate. Reports can update as lineups, injuries, and odds develop, so confirm time-sensitive details before acting.

Fight Odds

Moneyline

Jacob Malkoun+145DraftKings
Abubakar Vagaev-175DraftKings

Moneyline from the calendar feed. Lines move; confirm at the book before acting.

Matchup Analysis

Malkoun’s grappling gives him a clear route

Malkoun averages 5.39 takedowns per 15 minutes in the UFC, and he went 3-for-3 on takedowns in his May decision win over Gerald Meerschaert. His ability to turn that pressure into sustained control could be central against another accomplished wrestler.

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Vagaev showed he can wrestle at UFC pace

In his July UFC debut, Vagaev landed four of 10 takedowns against Saygid Izagakhmaev and won a unanimous decision. That outing offers a first look at how his chain-wrestling game translates inside the Octagon, though the takedown attempts also show he may need repeated entries to secure control.

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A quick return with a weight-class change

Vagaev is moving up to middleweight after competing at welterweight in July, leaving roughly three months between bouts to prepare for the new division. How effectively he adjusts his strength and conditioning for the larger weight class is a key unknown.

Source

Vagaev says a camp illness has passed

In an October interview, Vagaev said he had caught a cold during training but was fine and continuing preparations. That is a resolved camp issue as described by the fighter, not a report of a current injury.

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Pick Ideas

Malkoun moneyline at plus money

Consider Malkoun at around +160 or better if you rate his experience at middleweight as a meaningful edge. The available market favors Vagaev, so shop for the best underdog price and keep the stake measured.

Over 2.5 rounds

A three-round fight that reaches the scorecards is a plausible angle; both men have recent UFC wins by decision. Check the offered price before betting, since this is a stylistic lean rather than a certainty.

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