VALORANT · October 16, 2026 · 5:00 AM ET

100 THIEVES @ G2 ESPORTS

Free LineCrush game report for 100 THIEVES @ G2 ESPORTS on October 16, 2026, with matchup analysis and pick ideas generated for the daily slate. Reports can update as lineups, injuries, and odds develop, so confirm time-sensitive details before acting.

Matchup Analysis

G2 has the recent head-to-head edge

G2 leads the teams’ all-time series 6–4 and won their most recent meeting 2–0 on October 8. That result gives G2 a clear matchup-specific case despite entering as the moneyline underdog.

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100 Thieves arrive off a convincing playoff win

100T swept NRG in its last match, taking Sunset 14–12 in overtime before closing out Haven 13–4. The second-map margin showed how decisively 100T can take control once it finds its footing.

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G2 showed resilience against T1

G2 responded to a map loss by winning the deciding Ascent 13–6 in its 2–1 lower-bracket victory over T1. That ability to reset within a series is relevant in a best-of-three rematch.

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A high-stakes best-of-three

This is a VALORANT Champions lower-bracket playoff match played as a best-of-three, so there is little room to recover from a slow start. Expect early map momentum and adaptation between maps to matter.

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Pick Ideas

100 Thieves moneyline at -200

100T is the market favorite, but -200 requires a win probability above 66.7% to break even. Consider the favorite only if your estimate clears that threshold; otherwise the price offers little margin.

Small G2 underdog position at +150

G2’s +150 price implies a 40% break-even probability before accounting for vig, making it a higher-variance alternative rather than the market’s preferred side. Keep any underdog stake modest.

Over 2.5 maps, if available near -107

A three-map series is a reasonable speculative angle at roughly even pricing, but it is less conservative than backing the moneyline favorite. Check the offered price before betting.

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