VALORANT · October 9, 2026 · 8:00 AM ET

100 THIEVES @ NONGSHIM REDFORCE

Free LineCrush game report for 100 THIEVES @ NONGSHIM REDFORCE on October 9, 2026, with matchup analysis and pick ideas generated for the daily slate. Reports can update as lineups, injuries, and odds develop, so confirm time-sensitive details before acting.

Matchup Analysis

An elimination match in the lower bracket

Both teams dropped their upper-quarterfinals, so Friday’s best-of-three is win-or-go-home: the winner stays alive in the tournament and the loser is eliminated.

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100 Thieves were close on Ascent, but could not force a third map

100 Thieves fell 0–2 to G2, losing Abyss 5–13 before pushing Ascent to 11–13. They will need a stronger start than they showed on Abyss to avoid giving Nongshim early control.

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Nongshim showed a sharp reset before a narrow Haven finish

After losing their Split pick 8–13 to Vitality, Nongshim answered with a 13–4 win on Abyss, then lost Haven 12–14 in overtime. That swing makes their ability to carry the Abyss adjustment into a new series a key watch point.

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The teams have a recent meeting to draw on

100 Thieves beat Nongshim 2–1 in their July Esports World Cup semifinal, giving both coaching staffs recent head-to-head tape as they prepare for this elimination series.

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Pick Ideas

100 Thieves moneyline

100 Thieves were priced around 63¢ on Polymarket versus 38¢ for Nongshim, making them the market lean; treat that as a reference rather than a guaranteed edge, especially given the modest trading volume.

Map 1 over 20.5 rounds

If the map-one total is still 20.5, the over was quoted near 59¢; consider it only if the price remains favorable, since the market showed no recorded volume at the time checked.

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