Payton Talbott vs Deiveson Figueiredo

Expected fight flow

Payton Talbott keeps the fight at range, absorbs periods of Deiveson Figueiredo's pressure, and wins a closely contested unanimous decision. The bout remains competitive through all three rounds, with Talbott's volume and movement separating him late.

Payton Talbott: Payton Talbott's steady neutral outlook supports a composed performance built on disciplined distance striking and consistent activity.

Deiveson Figueiredo: Deiveson Figueiredo's neutral camp provides no clear momentum edge, and his pressure is not sustained enough to overcome Talbott's cleaner output.

A ranked opportunity in the co-main

UFC’s event announcement billed this as the co-main event, with No. 11 Payton Talbott facing No. 9 Deiveson Figueiredo. A win would put Talbott’s rise against a former flyweight champion on a prominent stage.

Talbott’s range and output are the first test

Talbott has a two-inch reach edge and averages substantially more significant strikes per minute than Figueiredo. If he can keep exchanges at distance, that volume gives him a clear route to bank rounds.

Figueiredo has a grappling route to disrupt the rhythm

Figueiredo’s takedown and submission averages make clinch entries a credible alternative to trading at range. Talbott’s takedown defense will be important if the Brazilian can turn those entries into sustained grappling rather than isolated attempts.

Recent results point in opposite directions

Talbott arrives after consecutive wins over Felipe Lima and Henry Cejudo, while Figueiredo is coming off losses to Umar Nurmagomedov and Song Yadong. The contrast is notable, though Figueiredo’s recent opposition has been high-level.

Figueiredo says he is preparing for Salt Lake City conditions

Figueiredo said he completed camp in Thailand and arrived early in Utah to acclimate to the altitude. He also described an aggressive, power-first approach while keeping grappling in reserve.

Shop carefully before backing the favorite

DraftKings was listing Talbott at -550; that price requires a win probability above 84% to break even. Consider a straight bet only if you find a better number, rather than paying a steep premium.

Small lean: over 2.5 rounds

One published market had the over 2.5 rounds at 2.07 decimal odds. Treat it as a modest lean, not a certainty, and confirm the line and price with your sportsbook before betting.