MMA · August 8, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET
GUILHERME PAT vs STEVEN ASPLUND
Free LineCrush game report for GUILHERME PAT vs STEVEN ASPLUND on August 8, 2026, with matchup analysis and pick ideas generated for the daily slate. Reports can update as lineups, injuries, and odds develop, so confirm time-sensitive details before acting.
Matchup Analysis
UFC Vegas 120 heavyweight showcase between emerging big men
Guilherme Pat and Steven Asplund meet in a heavyweight bout at UFC Vegas 120 on Aug. 8, with both looking to break their current 1-1 UFC records and gain traction in the division.
SourceClash of knockout threats with proven finishing ability
Pat enters with a strong finishing profile built on multiple early KO/TKO wins in his pre-UFC run, while Asplund has flashed major power with highlight-reel stoppages including a lightning-fast 16-second TKO on the Contender Series.
SourcePat seeks response after losing his unbeaten record
The Brazilian heavyweight 'Kong' saw his professional undefeated streak snapped when he dropped a majority decision to Thomas Petersen at UFC Vegas 115, falling to 6-1 overall and 1-1 in the UFC.
SourceAsplund aiming to rebound from step-up loss to Vitor Petrino
Asplund most recently went three rounds in a unanimous-decision defeat to Vitor Petrino at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos, a setback that left him with a 7-2 professional mark and offered a clear view of his durability at higher levels.
SourcePhysically mirrored matchup of tall orthodox heavyweights
Both Pat and Asplund stand 6'5" as orthodox heavyweights, with Pat bringing an 81" reach and a slightly lighter frame around 236–238 pounds, while the American 'Concrete' typically comes in near 265 pounds for Minnesota Top Team.
SourceContrasting camps and regional pedigrees shape stylistic expectations
Pat arrives from a Corinthians MMA background in Brazil, whereas Asplund represents Minnesota Top Team in the United States, suggesting a blend of Brazilian heavyweight aggression against Midwestern wrestling and pressure sensibilities.
SourceTempo battle: Pat’s early blitzes vs. Asplund’s later-round pressure
Pat has repeatedly hurt foes early with first- and second-round stoppages over opponents like Joao Gabriel Mendes, Ronny de Souza, and Luis Andrade de Oliveira, while Asplund has shown he can break opponents down for second- and third-round TKOs against Raiden Kovacs and Hammer Morton.
SourcePick Ideas
Moneyline lean toward Asplund’s tested UFC résumé
With Asplund already logging high-level minutes against names like Vitor Petrino and Sean Sharaf, including a big striking performance in his win over Sharaf, bettors may lean slightly toward his side on the moneyline versus a still-adjusting Pat.
Over 1.5 rounds supported by recent decision form
Pat has gone the full three rounds in both a unanimous-decision win over Allen Frye and a majority-decision loss to Petersen, while Asplund has similarly gone the distance in fights such as his bouts with Petrino and Larry Gonzales, strengthening the case for an over 1.5 rounds angle.
Pat by KO/TKO as an upside-driven prop
Given Pat’s history of accumulating stoppage wins with strikes against opponents like Mauricio Queiroz and his overall high finish rate on the regional scene, a Pat-by-KO/TKO ticket offers appealing upside if he can recreate that aggression early in this matchup.
Asplund by decision for volume-based long shot
Asplund has shown the ability to sustain output over three rounds, illustrated by his high significant-strike totals in the win over Sharaf, making an Asplund-by-decision play a viable long-shot for bettors expecting him to outwork Pat rather than simply rely on a knockout.
Fight not to go the distance keyed to combined knockout history
Both heavyweights carry multiple KO/TKO victories on their records, and with Pat’s early finishing track record alongside Asplund’s own stoppage wins, an inside-the-distance prop stands out for bettors who trust their power more than their defensive consistency.
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