Player Prop Results for October 16, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

Yesterday’s player props went 72-81 across 153 graded picks on October 16, 2026. That’s a losing day, and we’re stating it plainly: 72 wins, 81 losses. Below is the full breakdown and the graded highlights, exactly as they happened.

By the Numbers

• NHL: 43-34
• NBA: 29-47

Biggest Wins

Our analysis highlighted several spots that cashed cleanly, and LineCrush’s models delivered on these:

• Cooper Flagg (NBA): Points Over 19.50 — WIN, actual: 26.0
  Flagg cleared this by a healthy margin, delivering 26.0 points against a 19.50 line.

• Franz Wagner (NBA): Assists Over 4.50 — WIN, actual: 6.0
  Wagner finished with 6.0 dimes, comfortably over the 4.50 threshold.

• Beckett Sennecke (NHL): Assists Under — WIN, actual: 0.0
  The Under landed with zero assists, matching exactly what we needed.

• Morgan Geekie (NHL): Assists Over 0.50 — WIN, actual: 1.0
  Geekie got the single helper required to cash the Over at 0.50.

• Brock Nelson (NHL): Points Over — WIN, actual: 1.0
  Nelson reached 1.0 point to put the Over in the win column.

Where We Missed

We grade the misses just as clearly. These were losses, and we’re not sugarcoating them:

• Jaden Schwartz (NHL): Points Over — LOSS, actual: 0.0
  Needed a point and didn’t get one.

• Cale Makar (NHL): Points Under — LOSS, actual: 2.0
  The Under didn’t hold; Makar posted 2.0 points.

• Jamal Murray (NBA): Threes Over 2.50 — LOSS, actual: 0.0
  This never got close; Murray didn’t hit a three.

• Tyrese Haliburton (NBA): Threes Over 3.50 — LOSS, actual: 3.0
  Fell one make short of the Over.

• De'Aaron Fox (NBA): Points Over 18.50 — LOSS, actual: 16.0
  Stayed under by 2.5 points.

Radical honesty is the standard: October 16 finished 72-81. NHL was positive at 43-34; NBA struggled at 29-47.

• What worked: Select NBA overs on playmakers like Cooper Flagg and Franz Wagner paid, and targeted NHL assist/points edges (Geekie, Nelson) converted.
• What didn’t: Several marquee names missed our overs (Murray, Haliburton, Fox), and a high-profile NHL under on Cale Makar was wrong.

Every pick you see here is graded publicly on LineCrush, win or lose. You can audit all 153 graded plays from October 16, 2026, alongside our analysis, records, and results.

Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.