Player Prop Results for August 18, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

We went 414-515 on August 18, 2026 across 929 graded player props. That’s a losing day, and we’re stating it plainly: more losses than wins overall, despite some sharp spots our analysis identified.

LineCrush’s models post every result publicly, and yesterday’s tally was 414 wins vs. 515 losses.

By the Numbers

• MLB: 347-462
• WNBA: 67-53

Biggest Wins

• Kyle Harrison (MLB) — Pitcher Outs Under: WIN, actual 15.0. Our call on the Under hit as Harrison was held to 15 outs. The number landed where an Over would have needed more length, and the Under delivered.
• Keider Montero (MLB) — Pitcher Strikeouts Under 3.50: WIN, actual 3.0. Montero stayed under the 3.5 threshold, finishing with 3 strikeouts, a clean result that aligned with our read on his punchout ceiling for the outing.
• Alex Bregman (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Over: WIN, actual 2.0. Bregman cleared the Over by reaching 2 total bases, validating the Over position on his bases production.
• Jackson Merrill (MLB) — Batter Singles Under 0.50: WIN, actual 0.0. Merrill recorded no singles, cashing the Under 0.50. The bet required a zero, and that’s what we got.
• Cristian Javier (MLB) — Pitcher Walks Under: WIN, actual 1.0. Javier kept the free passes in check with just 1 walk, which landed safely under the posted threshold per our projection.

Where We Missed

• Corey Seager (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under: LOSS, actual 3.0. We were on the Under, but Seager reached 3 total bases, clearly exceeding the position and handing us a loss.
• Willson Contreras (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under 1.50: LOSS, actual 3.0. Contreras doubled the 1.5 number with 3 total bases, and our Under did not hold up.
• Freddie Freeman (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under: LOSS, actual 2.0. Freeman got to 2 total bases, enough to beat our Under and put another L on the sheet.
• Jackson Merrill (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Over 1.50: LOSS, actual 0.0. We also had an Over 1.5 on Merrill’s total bases elsewhere, and he finished with 0. That’s a straightforward miss, the opposite side of our singles Under win.
• Eric Lauer (MLB) — Pitcher Outs Over: LOSS, actual 15.0. We needed more length from Lauer. He finished at 15 outs, and the Over did not get there.

What this means: MLB was the driver of the overall negative day at 347-462. WNBA posted a winning 67-53, but it wasn’t enough to overcome the MLB deficit. The notable wins show where our angles on pitcher usage, strikeout caps, and selective batter Overs paid off. The misses—particularly on total bases Unders for big bats and an Over on pitcher outs—cost us, and those are recorded exactly as they happened.

Every pick is graded publicly on LineCrush, win or lose. Yesterday’s 414-515 is on the board in full, and so are the details listed above. If you tailed, you see precisely what hit and what didn’t. Our analysis will continue to surface edges, and the results—good or bad—will always be posted transparently.

Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.