Player Prop Results for September 30, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

We went 195-216 on September 30, 2026 across 411 graded player props. That’s a losing day, and we’re stating it plainly: more losses than wins. Below we break down how each sport fared, the biggest hits from LineCrush’s models, and exactly where we missed.

Every number you see here is from our publicly graded results for 9/30/26.

By the Numbers

• MLB: 129-139
• WNBA: 41-45
• NHL: 25-32

That puts the combined slate at 195-216. MLB carried the bulk of volume and finished slightly under .500, while the WNBA and NHL each closed the day in the red as well.

Biggest Wins

Our analysis did connect on several clear edges:

• Georgia Amoore (WNBA) — Points Under 7.50: WIN, actual 2.0
  LineCrush’s models projected a suppressed scoring outcome, and this one cleared comfortably with Amoore ending at 2.0 points versus a 7.50 line.

• Dustin Harris (MLB) — Batter Hits Under: WIN, actual 0.0
  A clean zero in the box score delivered the Under on hits without a sweat.

• Trea Turner (MLB) — Batter Hits Runs RBIs Over 1.50: WIN, actual 2.0
  Turner reached the multi-stat threshold, landing exactly 2.0 to cash the Over 1.50 on H+R+RBI.

• Gavin Sheets (MLB) — Batter Hits Over 0.50: WIN, actual 1.0
  One hit was all we needed, and one hit is what Sheets delivered.

• Jackson Merrill (MLB) — Batter Hits Over 0.50: WIN, actual 2.0
  Merrill cleared his hits Over with room to spare, finishing with two knocks.

These were straightforward validations of the lines: either a comfortable cushion (Amoore at 2.0 points against 7.50) or simple binary outcomes where one hit (Sheets) or two total contributions (Turner on H+R+RBI) sealed it.

Where We Missed

We also missed plainly on several spots. No hedging, no excuses—these did not get there:

• Hunter Brown (MLB) — Pitcher Strikeouts Over 6.50: LOSS, actual 2.0
  We needed a punchout surge; we got two. This never threatened.

• Willson Contreras (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under: LOSS, actual 5.0
  The Under was dead wrong. Contreras stacked bases and finished at 5.0 total bases—well over any reasonable Under threshold.

• Gavin Sheets (MLB) — Batter Hits Under: LOSS, actual 1.0
  On a different angle from the win above, the Under on Sheets’ hits lost because he recorded a hit.

• Manny Machado (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Over 1.50: LOSS, actual 1.0
  We needed at least two total bases. He ended at 1.0, short of the Over.

• Trea Turner (MLB) — Batter Hits Over 0.50: LOSS, actual 1.0
  This prop lost. Despite Turner registering 1.0 hit, the recorded outcome here is a LOSS, and we grade it exactly as listed.

These are clear misses. Some failed by margin (Machado one base short), others weren’t close (Brown’s strikeouts, Contreras blowing past an Under). Each is counted in the 216 losses.

Final Word

Win or lose, every pick is graded publicly on LineCrush. You can verify all 411 graded player props from September 30, 2026—195 wins and 216 losses—on our site, along with the sport-by-sport breakdowns and every individual result.

Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.