Player Prop Results for November 12, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

We went 352-371 on November 12, 2026, grading 723 player props. That’s a losing day, with more misses than hits. The record is what it is, and we’re posting it plainly so you can see exactly how LineCrush’s picks performed.

By the Numbers

• NHL: 206-218
• NBA: 97-112
• NFL: 49-41

Biggest Wins

• Chigoziem Okonkwo (NFL): Receptions Over 3.50 — WIN, actual 4.0. Our analysis leaned into volume, and he cleared the number by a single catch. It wasn’t flashy, but it cashed.
• Treylon Burks (NFL): Reception Longest Over 17.50 — WIN, actual 20.0. LineCrush’s models flagged a downfield shot as likely, and Burks delivered with a 20-yard grab to get over the top.
• Joel Embiid (NBA): Points Under — WIN, actual 20.0. We graded the under correctly; Embiid finished at 20.0 points. The restraint here mattered on a slate where many overs lagged.
• Darnell Mooney (NFL): Reception Yds Under 16.50 — WIN, actual 8.0. Defensive attention and role combined for a clean under, finishing well below the line.
• Ausar Thompson (NBA): Points Over 10.50 — WIN, actual 17.0. Thompson cleared this comfortably, validating the edge on opportunity and finishing at 17.0.

Where We Missed

• Grayson Allen (NBA): Points Assists Over — LOSS, actual 20.0. We were on the over but didn’t get there; grading came in short despite Allen landing at 20.0 on this combo stat.
• Naz Reid (NBA): Points Over 20.50 — LOSS, actual 16.0. The number needed a stronger scoring night than we got. Reid finished at 16.0, well under the target.
• Jaden McDaniels (NBA): Points Over 17.50 — LOSS, actual 16.0. Close but not enough. We needed 18+, and he topped out at 16.0.
• Kyrie Irving (NBA): Points Over 21.50 — LOSS, actual 10.0. This one wasn’t close. We missed the undercurrent on his scoring output and paid for it with a double-digit shortfall.
• Duncan Robinson (NBA): Points Over 15.50 — LOSS, actual 13.0. Marginal miss here; we projected a path to 16+, but Robinson finished at 13.0.

What this means for the day: the NFL props did the best work at 49-41, led by narrow but effective edges like Okonkwo’s receptions and Burks’s longest catch. The NHL volume dominated the slate and finished slightly down at 206-218. The NBA dragged overall at 97-112, where several overs—particularly on guards and wings—fell short of their marks, and even a marquee scorer like Kyrie Irving didn’t approach the number.

We’re not dressing it up: 352-371 is a down day. The highlights—Embiid’s points under, Mooney’s yardage under, Okonkwo and Burks delivering in the NFL, and Thompson clearing his points—helped, but they didn’t flip the ledger. The misses, especially on NBA points and combo overs for players like Kyrie Irving, Naz Reid, Jaden McDaniels, Grayson Allen, and Duncan Robinson, kept us in the red.

Every pick is graded publicly, win or lose, on LineCrush. You can review each wager, the posted line, and the actual result—no filters, no retroactive edits. Our analysis is posted the same way every day so you can verify the record and decide how to use it.

Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.