Player Prop Results for September 29, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

We went 256-255 on September 29, 2026, across 511 graded player props. That’s a barely positive day by volume, with as many close misses as close hits. Here’s exactly how the card shook out, sport by sport and pick by pick on the highlights—no spin.

Overall: 256-255 (511 graded props)

By the Numbers

• MLB: 136-115
• WNBA: 64-88
• NHL: 56-52

Our analysis shows MLB carried the day with a solid +21 differential. NHL ended slightly positive. WNBA was a clear negative, and it pulled down the overall return despite the overall winning record.

Biggest Wins

LineCrush’s models tagged several plus spots that cleared comfortably:

• Patrick Kane (NHL): Points Over 0.50 — WIN, actual: 1.0
  Cleared the hook with a single point. A clean cash on a low threshold.
• Olivia Miles (WNBA): Points Assists Under 25.50 — WIN, actual: 6.0
  This one wasn’t close. The Under landed with 19.5 units of cushion on the line.
• Manny Machado (MLB): Batter Total Bases Over 1.50 — WIN, actual: 6.0
  A ceiling result that sailed past the number by 4.5 total bases.
• Willson Contreras (MLB): Batter Hits Under 0.50 — WIN, actual: 0.0
  The Under hit with zero knocks allowed, exactly what an 0.5 Under needs.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. (MLB): Batter Total Bases Over 1.50 — WIN, actual: 5.0
  Another power Over that cleared easily, finishing 3.5 total bases past the line.

These wins reflect where our projections identified either soft totals or mispriced ceilings on hitters and a straightforward low bar on Kane’s points prop.

Where We Missed

We also had clear misses. No hedging—these were losses:

• Bowen Byram (NHL): Shots On Goal Over 1.50 — LOSS, actual: 0.0
  Needed two shots and got none. This didn’t threaten.
• Anton Frondell (NHL): Points Over 0.50 — LOSS, actual: 0.0
  A binary prop that stayed at zero. We needed one scoring event; didn’t get it.
• Roman Kantserov (NHL): Points Over 0.50 — LOSS, actual: 0.0
  Same story as above—no points, no sweat in our favor.
• Breanna Stewart (WNBA): Points Over 23.50 — LOSS, actual: 21.0
  Fell short by 2.5 points. This was within reach but never crossed the number.
• David Pastrnak (NHL): Assists Over 1.50 — LOSS, actual: 0.0
  Required two helpers and finished with none. That’s a decisive miss at a high bar.

Each of these losses is graded exactly as listed. The NHL point and assist Overs didn’t convert, and Stewart’s scoring Under beat our Over position by a small but definitive margin.

Final Word

Every pick you see here is graded publicly by LineCrush—win or lose. Yesterday closed at 256-255 overall, with MLB driving most of the wins, NHL slightly positive, and WNBA dragging the slate. If you tailed, you saw the same results on our board: clear tickets, transparent grading, and no re-writes after the fact. We’ll keep publishing the full ledger daily so you can track every decision our models make.

Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.