NHL Player Props Tonight (November 14, 2026): Best Bets and Top Picks

The best NHL player props tonight are headlined by three conviction picks from LineCrush’s models: Connor Bedard Assists Over 0.50, Joel Farabee Shots On Goal Over 2.50, and William Nylander Shots On Goal Under 2.50. Bedard’s Over 0.50 assists and Farabee’s Over 2.50 SOG each carry 8/10 confidence with strong momentum signals, while Nylander’s Under 2.50 SOG (also 8/10) stands out as a value fade based on his current offensive approach.

Tonight’s NHL Slate It’s a massive Saturday with 14 games spread across the day, beginning early with SEA at CAR (1:00 PM ET) and WPG at CHI (3:40 PM ET), then a packed primetime window featuring matchups like COL at MTL, OTT at PIT, DET at TBL, FLA at STL, MIN at BOS, NJD at WSH, PHI at CBJ, and EDM at TOR (all 7:09–7:10 PM ET). The late slate closes with BUF at DAL (8:10 PM ET), SJS at UTA (9:10 PM ET), and a West Coast capper of NYI at ANA and CGY at LAK (10:10 PM ET).

Top Player Props for November 14, 2026

High-conviction anchors (8/10 confidence)

• Connor Bedard — Assists Over 0.50 (conviction pick; “Frustrated Focus”): Our analysis points to a create-first mindset translating to setup chances. With WPG visiting CHI at 3:40 PM ET, Bedard’s distribution profile aligns with increased touch volume. This Over is a headline play for parlays or as a standalone.
• Joel Farabee — Shots On Goal Over 2.50 (conviction pick; “Renewed Confidence”): Facing CBJ at 7:10 PM ET, Farabee’s current read signals assertiveness and a green light to shoot. LineCrush’s models see a clear path to three-plus attempts based on role and mentality.
• William Nylander — Shots On Goal Under 2.50 (conviction pick; “Overthinking Offense”): EDM at TOR at 7:10 PM ET sets up a pass-first, puck-control tendency for Nylander in this spot. Our analysis flags a tilt toward distributing rather than piling volume, making the Under a sharp contrarian angle.

Forward points Overs with usage or form edges (6/10 confidence)

• Rickard Rakell — Points Over 0.50 (conviction pick; “Elevated Usage”): In OTT at PIT (7:10 PM ET), Rakell’s role elevation supports a single point at plus ice time and opportunity. This is a correlated add-on if you’re building around Penguins exposure.
• Cole Perfetti — Points Over 0.50 (conviction pick; “Creative Catalyst”): With WPG at CHI earlier in the day, Perfetti’s playmaking reads as a driver for at least one scoring involvement. Suitable for round-robins with Bedard’s assist Over.
• Frank Nazar — Points Over 0.50 (conviction pick; “Scoring Surge”): Same game environment (WPG at CHI), with LineCrush’s models noting a surge signal. Nazar’s pace supports at least one point if Chicago converts limited windows.

Defensive/low-event Unders (6/10 confidence)

• Connor Murphy — Points Under 0.50 (conviction pick; “Defensive Concern”): In WPG at CHI, Murphy’s projection points away from offensive touches; our analysis prefers fading peripheral scoring in this matchup.
• Jacob Trouba — Points Under 0.50 (conviction pick; “Stable Starter”): A conservative, stay-at-home read holds him below the score sheet threshold. LineCrush’s models view this as a steady-floor Under in multi-leg builds.

Quick-build card

• Bedard Assists Over 0.50 (8/10)
• Farabee SOG Over 2.50 (8/10)
• Nylander SOG Under 2.50 (8/10)
• Plus one of: Rakell Points Over 0.50 or Perfetti Points Over 0.50 (each 6/10)

How These Picks Work LineCrush’s models surface edges based on how players and coaches say they feel, alongside stats and odds. We grade every pick publicly the next day—wins and losses both published—so you can track performance transparently and calibrate your staking with confidence.

Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.