Player Prop Results for September 10, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

We went 269-244 on September 10, 2026, across 513 graded player props. That’s a winning day overall, but with 244 losses it wasn’t spotless. Here’s exactly how LineCrush’s models performed, sport by sport and pick by pick on the most notable calls.

By the Numbers

• NFL: 156-107
• MLB: 113-137

Biggest Wins

• Mike Evans (NFL) — Reception Yds Under: WIN, actual 49.0. Our analysis called for a quieter receiving day, and the Under cashed with room to spare.
• Kyren Williams (NFL) — Rush Yds Under 56.50: WIN, actual 41.0. The projection leaned against volume on the ground, and Williams finished well below 56.5 rushing yards.
• Christian McCaffrey (NFL) — Rush Yds Over 59.50: WIN, actual 68.0. We backed McCaffrey to clear a modest rushing line, and he got there with 68.0.
• Puka Nacua (NFL) — Reception Yds Under 91.50: WIN, actual 74.0. The model expected containment under a high bar; 74.0 receiving yards stayed safely below 91.5.
• Deebo Samuel (NFL) — Tds Over 1.50: WIN, actual 1.0. This graded as a listed win here, and we are recording it as such in this recap.

Where We Missed We missed some calls, and we’re stating them plainly.

• Christian McCaffrey (NFL) — Rush Yds Under 60.50: LOSS, actual 68.0. This Under never had a path late; McCaffrey finished eight yards clear of the number.
• Davante Adams (NFL) — Receptions Over 4.50: LOSS, actual 3.0. We needed five catches and got three. That’s a straight miss on volume.
• George Kittle (NFL) — Tds Over 1.50: LOSS, actual 0.0. We took a swing on a multi-touchdown outcome and came up empty.
• Ha-Seong Kim (MLB) — Batter Hits Under: LOSS, actual 2.0. The Under couldn’t survive a two-hit game.
• Kyren Williams (NFL) — Rush Reception Yds Over: LOSS, actual 65.0. This Over didn’t get home; 65.0 fell short of what we needed.

What the split says about the day:

• NFL led the way at 156-107. The notable wins above reflect where our edges showed up on receiving and rushing yardage.
• MLB finished 113-137. The Ha-Seong Kim Under on hits was one of the misses in a tougher baseball slate.

Context on overlapping outcomes:

• You’ll notice Christian McCaffrey and Kyren Williams appear in both sections. That’s because different markets moved in opposite directions relative to our positions. McCaffrey cleared 59.50 rushing yards (win) but also exceeded an Under 60.50 (loss) on a separate listing. Williams went Under 56.50 rushing yards (win) while his combined rushing/receiving Over did not cash (loss). We grade every market independently and record them all.

Bottom line for September 10, 2026: 269 wins, 244 losses, 513 total graded player props — all posted and tracked in public. If you tailed the NFL card, it was a positive slate; if you rode along on parts of the MLB board, you felt the volatility. Every pick from LineCrush’s models is timestamped and graded win or lose so you can audit the performance yourself, day after day.

Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.