Player Prop Results for October 24, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

We went 422-430 on October 24, 2026, across 852 graded player props. That’s a losing day by eight picks, and we’re stating it plainly. Here’s exactly how the results broke down, what hit, and where we missed.

By the Numbers

• NHL: 220-214
• NBA: 157-150
• MLB: 30-28
• WNBA: 15-38

Biggest Wins

• Naji Marshall (NBA) — Assists Over: WIN, actual 5.0. Our analysis flagged his playmaking spot, and he cleared the number to deliver one of the cleaner overs on the board.
• Josh Giddey (NBA) — Points Under 12.50: WIN, actual 9.0. LineCrush’s models leaned under on his scoring usage, and the final landed comfortably below the 12.5 mark.
• Donovan Mitchell (NBA) — Assists Under: WIN, actual 4.0. We projected a scoring-first role rather than a table-setting night, and the assist total stayed under.
• Kevin Durant (NBA) — Assists Under: WIN, actual 2.0. A low-distribution game matched our read and cashed decisively on the under.
• Nickeil Alexander-Walker (NBA) — Assists Over: WIN, actual 4.0. We expected added touches to translate into opportunities for teammates; he got to four and cleared the over.

Where We Missed

• Collin Graf (NHL) — Shots On Goal Over 1.50: LOSS, actual 1.0. We needed two; he finished with one. That’s a straightforward miss on volume.
• Myles Turner (NBA) — Rebounds Over 4.50: LOSS, actual 5.0. This one stings because the actual was five, but the grade is a loss as listed. It did not land as an over for us.
• Naji Marshall (NBA) — Points Assists Over 20.50: LOSS, actual 15.0. We were well short here; the combined scoring and facilitating didn’t approach the 20.5 mark.
• Nickeil Alexander-Walker (NBA) — Points Over 18.50: LOSS, actual 18.0. Missed by a single point. Close still counts as a loss in our book.
• Lucas Raymond (NHL) — Shots On Goal Over 2.50: LOSS, actual 2.0. Needed three, got two. Another volume shortfall that didn’t clear.

What this means for the slate: the NHL and NBA carried the bulk of the action and landed just above water in both volume and hit rate, but not enough to offset a tough WNBA line and a narrow edge in MLB. The overall result is a negative day by eight picks. We’re not spinning it—some of the unders were decisive wins, while a few overs fell a shot or a point shy and graded out as losses. That mix shows up clearly in the record.

A few takeaways from our analysis:

• Assist unders on high-usage scorers were a bright spot, with both Kevin Durant and Donovan Mitchell coming in cleanly under.
• Secondary playmakers delivered on assist overs, as seen with Naji Marshall and Nickeil Alexander-Walker.
• Shot-volume overs in the NHL were fragile on the margins; both Collin Graf and Lucas Raymond ended one attempt short of their marks.
• On NBA counting stats, thin margins mattered: Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Myles Turner demonstrate how a point or a rebound can flip the grade.

Every pick is graded publicly, win or lose. You can see all 852 graded player props from October 24, 2026 on LineCrush, exactly as they were posted, with results and outcomes tracked in full.

Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.