Player Prop Results for September 09, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

September 09, 2026 Results Recap: LineCrush went 378-509 across 887 graded player props yesterday. That’s a losing day, and we’re stating it plainly: 378 wins, 509 losses.

Our analysis publishes every pick and grade publicly, and yesterday’s full slate is no exception.

By the Numbers

• MLB: 306-340
• NFL: 72-169

The split shows MLB close to even while NFL props dragged down the card. The volume was heavy, and the aggregate result reflects it.

Biggest Wins

• Sam Darnold (NFL) — Pass Completions Under: WIN, actual 1.0
  LineCrush’s models flagged downside on Darnold’s completions, and the Under cashed decisively with just 1.0 completion recorded. No sweat—this cleared by margin.

• Rhamondre Stevenson (NFL) — Receptions Over: WIN, actual 5.0
  We needed receptions volume, and Stevenson delivered with 5.0. The Over got there on usage, validating the Over stance for his passing-game role.

• Teoscar Hernandez (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Over 1.50: WIN, actual 2.0
  Hernandez cleared the 1.50 threshold with 2.0 total bases. It wasn’t a blowout, but it did what an Over needs to do—get across the line.

• A.J. Brown (NFL) — Reception Yds Under: WIN, actual 26.0
  The Under hit comfortably with Brown held to 26.0 receiving yards. This aligned with our read on a capped yardage outcome.

• Keider Montero (MLB) — Pitcher Outs Under 16.50: WIN, actual 12.0
  A strong Under. Montero finished at 12.0 outs, well short of 16.50, matching our expectation that he wouldn’t work deep.

These wins show both sides of the board—NFL Unders on usage/yards that came in clean, and MLB props that cleared their numbers without drama.

Where We Missed

• DeMario Douglas (NFL) — Reception Longest Over: LOSS, actual 8.0
  We needed a longer single catch to clear; it didn’t happen. At 8.0, the Over never materialized.

• Aaron Judge (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under: LOSS, actual 2.0
  The Under lost with Judge reaching 2.0 total bases. That single extra base past the threshold flipped the result.

• Cooper Kupp (NFL) — Reception Yds Under 32.50: LOSS, actual 35.0
  This was close but still a loss. Kupp finished at 35.0 receiving yards, topping the 32.50 line.

• Romeo Doubs (NFL) — Reception TDs Over: LOSS, actual 0.0
  We needed a touchdown; we didn’t get one. Zero scores means a clear loss on the Over.

• Drake Maye (NFL) — Rush Yds Under 24.50: LOSS, actual 47.0
  This one missed decisively. Maye doubled the line’s neighborhood at 47.0 rushing yards, well beyond the Under.

We’re not minimizing any of these. The NFL board, in particular, had several spots that didn’t break our way, and the final numbers reflect that.

Final Word

LineCrush’s models graded 887 player props on September 09, 2026, finishing 378-509. Every pick—win or loss—is posted and verified publicly so you can audit our record yourself. We’ll keep publishing the full ledger daily and let the results speak for themselves.

Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.