Player Prop Results for August 15, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

Yesterday’s player props from LineCrush’s models finished 324-434 on August 15, 2026, across 758 graded picks. That’s a losing day, and we’re stating it plainly: more losses than wins overall. MLB struggled, while WNBA delivered a winning slate. Below, we break down the split by sport and highlight the specific wins and misses our analysis logged, as graded.

By the Numbers

• MLB: 276-396
• WNBA: 48-38

Biggest Wins

• Sean Manaea (MLB) — Pitcher Strikeouts Over 5.50: WIN, actual 7.0. Our analysis backed Manaea to clear 5.5 punchouts, and he delivered with seven, cashing the Over.
• Jesus Luzardo (MLB) — Pitcher Outs Over: WIN, actual 20.0. LineCrush’s models had Luzardo going deep enough to eclipse his outs line, and 20 recorded outs landed the ticket.
• Willson Contreras (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under: WIN, actual 0.0. A quiet day at the plate for Contreras validated the Under with zero total bases.
• Freddie Freeman (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under: WIN, actual 0.0. Freeman was held in check, and the Under got there clean with no total bases.
• Rae Burrell (WNBA) — Points Over 16.50: WIN, actual 20.0. Burrell cleared the posted 16.5 with a 20-point performance, a solid read from our models on her scoring output.

Where We Missed

• Bryce Harper (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under: LOSS, actual 2.0. We were on the Under, but Harper reached 2.0 total bases, and that result went against us.
• Jared Jones (MLB) — Pitcher Outs Under 14.50: LOSS, actual 15.0. We needed Jones to stay at 14 outs or fewer; he reached 15, missing the Under and grading as a loss.
• Alex Bregman (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Over: LOSS, actual 1.0. Our call leaned Over, but with only 1.0 total base, the play didn’t get home.
• Teoscar Hernandez (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under: LOSS, actual 1.0. We were on the Under, and 1.0 total base was enough to beat the bet and mark it as a loss.
• MacKenzie Gore (MLB) — Pitcher Strikeouts Over: LOSS, actual 5.0. The Over didn’t materialize; Gore finished with 5.0 strikeouts, grading the pick as a loss.

What the split tells us

• The overall 324-434 mark shows a down day, driven by MLB’s 276-396 record.
• WNBA was a bright spot at 48-38, with Rae Burrell’s Over 16.50 points (20.0) among the strongest reads from LineCrush’s models.
• MLB highlights included Sean Manaea clearing 5.50 strikeouts with 7.0 and Jesus Luzardo recording 20.0 outs to cash the Over, plus sharp Unders on total bases for Willson Contreras and Freddie Freeman at 0.0 each.

Accountability matters. Every pick above—and the full slate of 758 from August 15, 2026—is graded publicly on LineCrush, win or lose. We’ll keep posting the exact records, including the misses, and let the data speak for itself.

Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.