Player Prop Results for July 31, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

We went 401-424 on July 31, 2026, across 825 graded player props. That’s a losing day, and we’re stating it plainly: 401 wins, 424 losses. LineCrush’s models graded every pick, and what follows is the exact breakdown and the clearest examples of where we hit and where we missed.

By the Numbers

• MLB: 356-376
• WNBA: 45-48

Biggest Wins

• Ty France (MLB) — Batter Hits Over 0.50: WIN, actual 2.0. Our analysis targeted a simple threshold and France cleared it with two hits, converting the Over cleanly.
• Daulton Varsho (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under: WIN, actual 0.0. The Under landed decisively with Varsho producing no total bases, validating the conservative side of the projection.
• Alex Bregman (MLB) — Batter Singles Over 0.50: WIN, actual 1.0. Bregman recorded exactly one single, enough to cash the Over on a narrow, event-specific prop.
• Corbin Carroll (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under: WIN, actual 0.0. Carroll finished with zero total bases, a straightforward Under that never sweated.
• Otto Lopez (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under 1.50: WIN, actual 0.0. With no total bases recorded, Lopez stayed well below the 1.5 mark, delivering a comfortable Under.

Where We Missed

• Andy Pages (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Over: LOSS, actual 1.0. We needed more than what Pages produced; landing on 1.0 total base wasn’t enough to clear the Over.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under: LOSS, actual 2.0. Guerrero Jr. exceeded the Under call by ending at 2.0 total bases, which turned the pick into a clear loss.
• Javier Baez (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under 1.50: LOSS, actual 3.0. Baez comfortably beat the 1.5 threshold; ending at 3.0 total bases put this Under well out of range.
• Alex Bregman (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Over 1.50: LOSS, actual 1.0. Even with a successful singles Over elsewhere, this separate total bases Over didn’t get there; 1.0 total base fell short of the 1.5 requirement.
• Jake Bauers (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under: LOSS, actual 5.0. This was one of the most decisive misses of the day; Bauers’ 5.0 total bases blasted past the Under and flipped the call outright.

What this day tells you is simple: we graded 825 props, we finished 401-424, and the edge was not in our favor overall. The MLB slate did most of the heavy lifting in volume and landed at 356-376, while the WNBA card went 45-48. The specific wins above show how LineCrush’s models converted on tightly priced, binary outcomes like singles and low total bases, and the losses show exactly where production outpaced our Unders or failed to reach our Overs.

We don’t hide our results. Every pick for July 31, 2026, is graded publicly on LineCrush, win or lose, with the same transparency you see here.

Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.