Player Prop Results for October 28, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

Yesterday’s picks went 373-402 across 775 graded player props on October 28, 2026. That’s a losing day. LineCrush’s models had some strong reads in spots, but the volume leaned slightly against us and we finished below .500.

By the Numbers

• NBA: 264-286
• NHL: 89-92
• MLB: 20-24

Biggest Wins

• Josh Giddey (NBA) — Points Under 10.50: WIN, actual 10.0. Our analysis pegged a tighter scoring role for Giddey and the Under landed by the hook. It wasn’t flashy, but a win is a win, and the number closed right on the edge where discipline mattered.
• Isaiah Hartenstein (NBA) — Rebounds Over: WIN, actual 14.0. This one cleared with room, validating the rebound volume we expected. Hartenstein’s glass work was exactly what we projected, turning a volatile market into a steady Over.
• Jaden McDaniels (NBA) — Points Rebounds Assists Over: WIN, actual 30.0. The combined line gave McDaniels multiple paths to cash, and he got there decisively. When the role expands even slightly, these holistic PRA angles can pay off, as it did here.
• Joel Embiid (NBA) — Rebounds Over: WIN, actual 11.0. A straightforward Over that relied on Embiid’s baseline board rate and matchup reliability. He reached 11 and did the job without drama.
• Leonard Miller (NBA) — Points Over: WIN, actual 10.0. A smaller-name spot that still mattered to the bottom line. He crossed the number and validated the trust placed in his scoring output.

Where We Missed

• Franz Wagner (NBA) — Points Assists Over 29.50: LOSS, actual 20.0. This never threatened. He landed well short of the combined threshold and we missed the read on his usage plus facilitation here.
• Nikola Jokić (NBA) — Points Rebounds Assists Over 49.50: LOSS, actual 44.0. A big number and he fell five shy. Even with strong all-around production, it wasn’t enough to clear the ceiling we needed.
• Kevin Durant (NBA) — Points Over: LOSS, actual 18.0. We needed more scoring and didn’t get it. This was a clear miss with Durant finishing well below expectations.
• Kyrie Irving (NBA) — Points Over: LOSS, actual 15.0. Another underwhelming scoring line versus our Over position. The number came in light and the Over never materialized.
• Brook Lopez (NBA) — Points Over 14.50: LOSS, actual 2.0. This was our worst miss among the notables. Lopez was nowhere near the target, and the Over was dead early.

What this means for bettors is simple: October 28 was a down day overall, with NBA driving the majority of volume and variance. The NHL and MLB slates were also negative in aggregate, though tighter in margin. Even on a losing card, there were clear edges — from Hartenstein’s rebounding dominance to McDaniels’ PRA — but they didn’t outweigh the misses like Durant, Irving, and Lopez on the scoring side or a high bar for Jokić’s PRA.

We don’t spin results. Every pick is graded publicly on LineCrush, win or lose, so you can audit our record, see what hit, what didn’t, and how our analysis lined up against the numbers.

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