Player Prop Results for July 28, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

We went 329-356 on July 28, 2026, across 685 graded player props. That’s a losing day, and we’re stating it plainly. LineCrush’s models produced 329 wins and 356 losses, and every one of those outcomes is reflected below and in our public grading.

By the Numbers

• MLB: 276-279
• WNBA: 53-77

Biggest Wins

• Peter Lambert (MLB) — Pitcher Strikeouts Over: WIN. Our analysis backed Lambert to clear his punchout line, and he delivered with 6.0 strikeouts. That Over cashed cleanly.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under 1.50: WIN. Guerrero Jr. finished at 1.0 total bases, landing under 1.50. The cap was about limiting extra-base damage, and the result stayed on the right side.
• Eugenio Suarez (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under 1.50: WIN. Suarez ended with 0.0 total bases, a decisive Under that aligned with the projection.
• Justin Wrobleski (MLB) — Pitcher Strikeouts Over: WIN. Wrobleski reached 7.0 strikeouts, clearing the Over. LineCrush’s models identified a path to swing-and-miss, and he hit the number.
• Dalton Rushing (MLB) — Batter Hits Over: WIN. Rushing collected 3.0 hits, a strong result that comfortably put the Over through.

Where We Missed

• Brandon Pfaadt (MLB) — Pitcher Strikeouts Under: LOSS. We played the Under, and he finished with 4.0 strikeouts. That result went against our position.
• Cal Quantrill (MLB) — Pitcher Outs Under: LOSS. We needed fewer outs; he recorded 16.0. That’s a straight miss on an Under that didn’t get there.
• Shohei Ohtani (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under 1.50: LOSS. We were on the Under, and Ohtani posted 7.0 total bases. That’s not close, and it’s a clear loss.
• Freddie Freeman (MLB) — Batter Hits Over: LOSS. We needed more than what we got; Freeman finished at 1.0 hit. The Over did not cash.
• Landen Roupp (MLB) — Pitcher Outs Over 16.50: LOSS. We backed the Over 16.50 outs; he recorded 11.0. That fell well short and goes in the loss column without qualification.

What this means for July 28: it was a tough slate, particularly with the WNBA split at 53-77 and MLB narrowly negative at 276-279. The notable wins above show spots where our read aligned with outcomes—Lambert and Wrobleski clearing strikeout Overs, and Guerrero Jr. and Suarez staying Under their total bases. Dalton Rushing’s 3.0 hits was a comfortable Over that never sweated.

On the other side, several calls missed decisively. Ohtani’s 7.0 total bases made our Under noncompetitive. Landen Roupp didn’t approach the 16.50 outs we needed. Pfaadt’s 4.0 strikeouts clipped our Under, while Quantrill’s 16.0 outs beat our Under stance. And Freeman’s 1.0 hit left the Over short.

There’s no spin here: 329-356 is below our standard, and it counts just the same as the good days. LineCrush grades every pick publicly, win or lose, and you can see each result exactly as it happened. Our analysis will keep adjusting to the tape and the numbers, and tomorrow’s slate will be graded the same way—openly, with every win and every loss on the record.

Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.