Player Prop Results for October 26, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

We went 314-353 on October 26, 2026, across 667 graded player props. That’s a losing day, and we’ll say it plainly: more losses than wins. Here’s exactly how it broke down, sport by sport, and the specific spots we hit and missed.

By the Numbers

• NBA: 165-191
• NHL: 67-58
• NFL: 40-59
• MLB: 31-28
• WNBA: 11-17

Biggest Wins

• Javonte Williams (NFL) — Rush TDs Over: WIN, actual 1.0. Our analysis leaned into Denver’s red-zone usage for Williams, and he got across the goal line to clear the over. One touchdown was all we needed, and he delivered.
• Obi Toppin (NBA) — Points Over: WIN, actual 14.0. LineCrush’s models expected efficient minutes and a clear scoring path; Toppin reached 14.0 points, pushing this over home.
• Paul George (NBA) — Rebounds Over 4.50: WIN, actual 5.0. We needed five, and he landed exactly on five. Margins matter, and this one cashed on the number.
• Jake Ferguson (NFL) — Reception Yards Under 18.50: WIN, actual 0.0. This was decisive. Ferguson never got going in the receiving game, staying well below the under with zero yards.
• Stephen Curry (NBA) — Assists Under: WIN, actual 3.0. The projection called for limited table-setting relative to his scoring gravity, and 3.0 assists kept this safely under.

Where We Missed

• Dak Prescott (NFL) — Pass Interceptions Over 0.50: LOSS, actual 0.0. We needed one pick; he threw none. That’s a miss, full stop.
• Kevin Durant (NBA) — Threes Over 1.50: LOSS, actual 1.0. The look volume didn’t translate to makes here; ending at 1.0 three left this under the required two.
• CeeDee Lamb (NFL) — Receptions Over 7.50: LOSS, actual 5.0. We projected higher involvement than the result. At 5.0 catches, this stayed well short of eight.
• Jamal Murray (NBA) — Threes Over: LOSS, actual 3.0. Despite three makes from deep, it wasn’t enough to clear the target on the over we played.
• Dallas Goedert (NFL) — Reception Longest Under: LOSS, actual 18.0. One longer grab beat the under. The single play outcome defined this loss.

What It Means

• The slate was volume-heavy (667 graded props), and the aggregate outcome was 314-353. NBA volume led the day and landed below water at 165-191. NHL was positive at 67-58, and MLB nudged ahead at 31-28. NFL underperformed at 40-59, and WNBA closed 11-17.
• The wins above underscore where our read on role and usage aligned with outcomes—Williams’ goal-line equity, Toppin’s scoring lane, George’s rebounding threshold, Ferguson’s muted yardage, and Curry’s distributive load. The misses show the other side just as clearly—turnover variance with Prescott, Durant falling one make short from deep, Lamb’s target-to-catch gap, Murray not clearing the higher three-point bar, and Goedert busting the longest-reception under with an 18.0-yarder.

Every pick is graded publicly on LineCrush, win or lose. You can verify each result and our full card from October 26, 2026, along with how LineCrush’s models priced the edges going in. We’ll keep posting the record — exactly as it is — and keep iterating to find better closing value and sharper reads moving forward.

Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.