NCAAB · March 13, 2026
GW REVOLUTIONARIES @ SAINT LOUIS BILLIKENS
Free LineCrush game report for GW REVOLUTIONARIES @ SAINT LOUIS BILLIKENS on March 13, 2026, with matchup analysis and pick ideas generated for the daily slate. Reports can update as lineups, injuries, and odds develop, so confirm time-sensitive details before acting.
Matchup Analysis
Saint Louis Offensive Firepower vs. GW Perimeter Attack
Saint Louis leads the A-10 in effective field goal percentage (.551) and scoring offense (87.8 PPG), while George Washington ranks second in both categories (.551 and 82.1 PPG respectively). The Billikens' balanced scoring with strong three-point shooting (12-31 in recent matchup) will be tested against GW's deep roster with eight players averaging 8.0 PPG or more.
Three-Point Volume and Conversion
George Washington has set the school record for three-pointers in a season (316) and averages 9.9 made threes per game, ranking second in the A-10. Saint Louis shot 12-31 from three in their January meeting, demonstrating strong perimeter capability. Whichever team controls three-point efficiency will likely control the game's tempo and outcome.
Offensive Rebounding Battle
George Washington is the top offensive rebounding team in the A-10, averaging 12.7 offensive caroms per game—a critical advantage for second-chance points. Saint Louis will need strong defensive rebounding discipline to prevent GW from extending possessions and running their offense multiple times.
Head-to-Head Execution: January Rematch Context
Saint Louis escaped with a 79-76 victory in January when Robbie Avila hit a clutch three-pointer with 3 seconds remaining. Both teams shot similarly (Saint Louis 44.4% to GW 41.5% FG), but the Billikens' superior three-point shooting (38.7% vs. 26.7%) and rebounding (42-42 total, but 17 assists vs. 10) made the difference in a tight affair.
Seed Advantage and Tournament Seeding Stakes
As the #1 seed (27-4) facing the #9 seed (18-14) in the Atlantic 10 Quarterfinal, Saint Louis enters as a heavy favorite with a 6.5-point spread. The Billikens' 15-3 A-10 record versus GW's 8-10 conference mark reflects the gulf in regular season performance, though tournament play can produce surprises.
Pick Ideas
Saint Louis to Cover -6.5
Saint Louis's superior seed position, better conference record (15-3 vs. 8-10), and recent head-to-head victory suggest the Billikens should cover. GW's strong offensive rebounding (12.7 per game) and three-point volume are their main paths to staying close.
Over 165.5 Total Points
Both teams averaged 82-88 PPG in regular season play with strong three-point shooting. Their January meeting finished at 155 combined points, but playoff intensity and tournament stakes could push offensive outputs higher.
Trey Green Over 15.5 Points
Green posted 23 points in the January matchup and drives Saint Louis's balanced offensive attack. As a key player for the #1 seed in tournament play, he should see consistent usage against GW's perimeter-oriented defense.
Robbie Avila Anytime Scorer
Avila hit the game-winner in January and is a reliable performer in clutch situations for Saint Louis. At reasonable odds, his proven ability to deliver in high-pressure moments makes him a solid prop bet.
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