Tallison Teixeira vs Shamil Gaziev

Teixeira owns the longer frame

At 6-foot-7 with an 83-inch reach, Teixeira has a notable size and range edge over Gaziev, listed at 6-foot-4 with a 78.5-inch reach. Keeping the fight at long range could help Teixeira make that difference matter.

Teixeira’s volume could test Gaziev’s defense

UFC stats list Teixeira at 4.85 significant strikes landed per minute with 63% accuracy, compared with Gaziev’s 2.90 landed per minute and 46% accuracy. Teixeira’s output is a potential advantage if he can sustain it without getting drawn into reckless exchanges.

A difficult wrestling route for Teixeira

Gaziev’s listed takedown defense is 83%, while Teixeira’s UFC profile shows zero-percent takedown accuracy despite recording attempts. That makes a reliable grappling-based plan less evident from their UFC numbers.

Gaziev arrives off a rebound win

Gaziev’s August first-round stoppage of Kennedy Nzechukwu followed a May second-round knockout loss to Brando Peričić. The quick return to the win column is encouraging, though the recent results also underline how volatile his heavyweight bouts can be.

Pick Ideas

Angles drawn from the matchup analysis above and refreshed as the news changes. They are a separate read from the LineCrush pick for this matchup, so the two can land on different sides.

Gaziev moneyline: respect the price

DraftKings listed Gaziev at -225 and Teixeira at +185 in the latest odds snapshot, making Gaziev’s implied break-even probability about 69%. Consider the favorite only if your own assessment clears that threshold; otherwise, passing is preferable to paying a steep price.

Consider a short-fight prop if the number is fair

Both fighters have substantial first-round-finish histories, so an under 1.5 rounds could be worth comparing with the moneyline if a sportsbook offers it at a reasonable price. No current price for that total was verified, so avoid assuming it is good value without checking the market.