BAY @ TEX

A neutral-site rivalry, not a Texas home game

Although Texas is listed as the home team in some feeds, the Frost Bank Center in San Antonio hosts the 264th meeting; Texas leads the series 165-98.

Vokietaitis gives Texas an early interior focal point

Through three games, Vokietaitis averages 21.3 points and 7.3 rebounds while shooting 79.3% from the floor, making his production against Baylor’s size a key matchup.

Baylor’s starting guards arrive in rhythm

Brett Decker Jr. and brothers Dylan and Kayden Mingo combined for 49 points on 19-of-29 shooting against Yale, giving Baylor efficient perimeter options in this step up in competition.

Baylor’s pressure created transition chances against Yale

Baylor’s 12 steals produced a 23-2 fast-break-points edge against Yale, and reproducing that disruption is a key test against Texas.

Mikey Lewis remains out for Texas

Texas says Mikey Lewis remains out after surgery for a fractured fifth metatarsal in his right foot; Sean Miller said he should be cleared to walk without a boot “pretty soon,” with tomorrow marking 6 weeks since surgery.

Pick Ideas

Angles drawn from the matchup analysis above and refreshed as the news changes. They are a separate read from the LineCrush pick for this matchup, so the two can land on different sides.

Texas moneyline, but mind the price

At about a 62% win probability, Texas is roughly -163 fair; consider the Texas moneyline only at -160 or better because the latest odds listing had no posted spread or moneyline.

Conditional under if the total opens high

Consider under 160.5 or higher if available; with the projection at 158.5, there is little appeal below that threshold.