MIAMI (OH) REDHAWKS @ EVANSVILLE PURPLE ACES

Miami’s scoring has come from multiple hands

In the 80–73 win over Bellarmine, Almar Atlason, Justin Kirby and Kyle Waltz each scored 15, while Evan Ipsaro added 12.

Quinet is Evansville’s primary creator

Bryce Quinet averaged 17.3 points and 8.33 assists through Evansville’s first three games, according to Miami’s preview; limiting his creation will be a key assignment for the RedHawks.

Evansville’s recent shooting struggle

The Purple Aces shot 35.5% from the field in their 73–68 loss at Middle Tennessee, and AJ Casey went 0-for-10; Miami will look to make Evansville work for clean interior attempts.

A lopsided series record, but dated evidence

Miami is 5–14 all-time against Evansville and has lost the teams’ last three meetings, with the most recent a 72–64 Evansville win in 2023; history favors the Aces but should carry limited weight because it predates the current rosters.

No confirmed availability update

The available team preview does not identify injuries or confirm a starting lineup, so player availability remains unverified.

Pick Ideas

Angles drawn from the matchup analysis above and refreshed as the news changes. They are a separate read from the LineCrush pick for this matchup, so the two can land on different sides.

Be price-sensitive on Miami

A prediction-market listing showed Miami at roughly a 77% win probability, while conventional sportsbook lines were unavailable in the listings reviewed; consider the moneyline only if your own estimate exceeds the price after vig.

Wait for the spread before considering ATS

Miami is 2–0, but no current spread or useful ATS edge is established; avoid laying an inflated number based only on the unbeaten start.

Hold off on a pregame total

Evansville’s recent games include a two-point overtime win and a five-point loss, so wait for a posted total and weigh pace and shooting rather than extrapolating from those results.