D. Shnaider vs M. Andreeva

Schedule and venue correction

This is not a Riyadh match: the WTA says the Finals were moved to Indian Wells, where this round-robin match is listed for noon local time on Nov. 13—not 15:00 UTC as supplied. The official tournament listing gives the surface as outdoor hard.

Late change to the matchup

Karolína Muchová withdrew from her group-stage finale with a gastrointestinal illness, and alternate Diana Shnaider was named to face Andreeva. Shnaider is stepping into the Finals singles draw as the second alternate.

Andreeva owns the head-to-head edge

Andreeva leads Shnaider 2-0, with their latest meeting coming in the Adelaide semifinals in January, where Andreeva went on to win the title.

Andreeva arrives in strong form

Andreeva has beaten both Elina Svitolina and Aryna Sabalenka in straight sets in group play, including a 6-4, 6-0 win over Sabalenka.

Pick Ideas

Angles drawn from the matchup analysis above and refreshed as the news changes. They are a separate read from the LineCrush pick for this matchup, so the two can land on different sides.

Be cautious laying a large game handicap

Andreeva has already secured first place in her group, so there is some uncertainty around how aggressively she needs to pursue a lopsided score ahead of the semifinals. That is a reason to avoid an expensive games handicap rather than assume she will ease off.