Alexander Castro vs Radzhab Butaev

A 10-round middleweight test in Riyadh

Butaev and Castro are listed for a 10-round, 160-pound main-card bout at Zuffa Boxing 13 in Riyadh. The event’s official card confirms the matchup.

Butaev’s latest outing went to the cards

In February, Butaev lost a split decision to Serhii Bohachuk after 10 rounds at middleweight. He’ll be looking to turn a close result into a win in his next appearance.

Castro showed late danger in his last fight

Against Bujar Tahiri in June, Castro had a standing count scored in his favor early and hurt Tahiri in the eighth, but still lost the close decision. His late-round threat could matter in another fight scored round by round.

Castro has a listed height edge

Available bout listings give Castro a 6-foot frame and Butaev a 5-foot-10 frame. Castro may be able to use that size to manage distance, though the listings do not establish a reach advantage.

No verified fight-week injury update found

The current event listings continue to show the bout scheduled, but the sources checked did not provide a specific injury report for either boxer. Recheck official event updates closer to the card.

Pick Ideas

Angles drawn from the matchup analysis above and refreshed as the news changes. They are a separate read from the LineCrush pick for this matchup, so the two can land on different sides.

Be cautious with the Butaev moneyline

One current odds listing shows Butaev around -2000 to -2500, a price that demands a very high win probability for limited return. Compare books and consider passing rather than paying that steep favorite tax.

Castro only as a small-stakes long shot

Castro has been listed near +800 to +1050, so a small speculative wager could offer a much larger payout than the favorite side. That price reflects substantial upset risk; it is not a reliable straight-bet choice.

Consider an over-rounds market if the price is fair

If a total becomes available, the over could be worth comparing with the moneyline: it avoids having to call the winner outright. Keep the stake modest, since no verified total or price was available in the sources checked.