STEPHEN F. AUSTIN LUMBERJACKS @ ABILENE CHRISTIAN WILDCATS

SFA’s scoring surge has come in blowouts

SFA opened with wins of 120–61 and 89–32 over Lyon and Texas Lutheran, respectively, rather than ACU.

Recent meetings favor the Lumberjacks

SFA’s series page lists a 29–15 advantage, wins in three of the last four meetings, and a 76–66 win in November 2025.

Simmons is setting up the SFA offense

Simmons averages 6.0 assists, while Chotikavanic leads SFA at 14.0 points and Alisas at 7.0 rebounds.

ACU has already had a close home finish

ACU beat Lamar 83–81 at home after losing at Colorado.

No confirmed availability update surfaced

ESPN’s matchup page lists player data as unavailable and provides no injury or availability report.

Pick Ideas

Angles drawn from the matchup analysis above and refreshed as the news changes. They are a separate read from the LineCrush pick for this matchup, so the two can land on different sides.

Abilene Christian +4.5 lean

At +4.5, ACU is worth a look if you expect a tighter game; Dimers projected SFA 73–71.

Small SFA moneyline consideration

At -175, SFA’s moneyline merits a small-stake look; ESPN’s matchup predictor gave it a 71.8% win probability.

Pass on the total without a stronger read

At 142.5, consider passing until there is a clearer read on the pace of a competitive game.