Memphis Grizzlies @ Toronto Raptors

Toronto’s creation tree is unsettled

Scottie Barnes is questionable with an adductor issue after saying he could not move well, while Immanuel Quickley is also questionable. That uncertainty matters because RJ Barrett’s usage and assist rate rise when Barnes sits, although Barnes has played in each of his four previous questionable situations.

Memphis’s frontcourt workload has shifted

Isaiah Stewart is out against Toronto with a right knee bone bruise, leaving Cam Boozer to play extensively at center and draw opposing centers. Zach Edey remains on a post-foot-injury minutes ramp, with foul trouble and Memphis’ other center options creating additional downside for his playing time.

Jerome remains Memphis’s volume engine

Ty Jerome leads Memphis in scoring and says his jump has come from increased shot volume, adding that he will keep shooting through misses. Opponents are responding with blitzes and full-court denials, but Jerome also ranks second in the NBA in clutch points, keeping his offensive role central against Toronto.

Poeltl has a clearer offensive mandate

Toronto has emphasized making Jakob Poeltl more aggressive in pick-and-roll, and the Raptors recently highlighted how often he is open and effective with his push shot. That focus gives Poeltl a specific path to production against a Memphis frontcourt missing Stewart.

Toronto’s replacement shooting is intentional

Jamison Battle was projected to start after Barnes and Quickley absences, and Toronto wants his late-game shooting confidence present from the opening tip. Battle has also said he will shoot first when defenders give him space, making his perimeter role more defined than a generic injury replacement.

Pick Ideas

Angles drawn from the matchup analysis above and refreshed as the news changes. They are a separate read from the LineCrush pick for this matchup, so the two can land on different sides.

Cam Boozer rebounds over

Stewart’s absence has pushed Boozer into substantial center minutes and matchup duties against opposing centers, directly increasing his rebounding opportunity. The bet carries some rotation risk if Stewart’s status changes, but the current Nov. 9 availability signal supports Boozer’s expanded frontcourt role.

Zach Edey points under

Edey is still being managed through a post-foot-injury minutes ramp, and his offensive involvement has looked uncertain. Foul trouble is also a meaningful risk with Memphis using several center alternatives, making his scoring outlook vulnerable even with Stewart unavailable.

RJ Barrett points over

Barnes’ adductor issue and Quickley’s questionable status could leave Toronto needing Barrett to handle more creation. Barrett’s usage rises by 7.5 points when Barnes sits, giving this matchup-specific over a stronger role-based case than a generic scoring angle.

Ty Jerome points over

Jerome is Memphis’s team scoring leader and has explicitly tied his breakout to higher shot volume, while promising to continue shooting through misses. Toronto’s pressure may bring blitzes and denials, but Memphis’ reliance on Jerome’s primary scoring role and his late-game production support the over.

Jamison Battle threes over

Battle was projected to start if Barnes and Quickley are absent, and Toronto has asked him to bring his late-game shooting confidence from the opening tip. His shoot-first approach when defenders give space fits a game plan likely to require replacement perimeter scoring.