Jacksonville Jaguars @ Tennessee Titans

Lawrence is protecting the ball while creating explosive plays

Trevor Lawrence has 18 touchdown passes against four interceptions and completed 16 of 26 throws for 242 yards and a score in Jacksonville’s latest win. His downfield connections with Parker Washington and Nate Boerkircher remain important, and Washington said he can make plays and be a special player.

Jacksonville’s defense is missing two key veterans

Jacksonville recently lost a defensive contributor and has another on injured reserve, thinning the interior and secondary against a Tennessee offense that can threaten on the ground and through the air.

Ward and Pollard showed signs of an offensive breakthrough

In Tennessee’s latest game, Cam Ward threw for a career-high 304 yards and two touchdowns, while Tony Pollard ran for 117 yards and two scores. Mike Borgonzi said the bye is a chance to regroup and self-scout, which could help Tennessee sustain that balance.

The Titans’ pass defense faces a major test

Tennessee allowed 462 passing yards and five passing touchdowns in its overtime loss to Cincinnati despite forcing four turnovers. Jacksonville’s passing game will test whether Tennessee has improved in coverage, while a recent podcast said Lawrence pressure markets deserve attention when Jacksonville faces a dominant pass rush.

Tennessee has several listed absences and one injury question

ESPN’s current listing has Peter Skoronski questionable; Carnell Tate, Tyjae Spears, Jaylon Jones and Tommy Townsend are out.

Pick Ideas

Angles drawn from the matchup analysis above and refreshed as the news changes. They are a separate read from the LineCrush pick for this matchup, so the two can land on different sides.

Titans +10.5 as a divisional underdog

Consider Tennessee +10.5 if available; Mike Borgonzi said the team has improved significantly since last year and is close, but avoid chasing a shorter number if the line moves.

Treat Jacksonville’s moneyline as parlay-only, or pass

The listed Jaguars moneyline is around -535; that steep price may not justify a standalone wager, so compare it with the spread or pass.