Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts

Willis’s mobility is the key health question

Malik Willis said his groin was “a little tight” after Miami’s loss to Detroit, and a report said treatment this week appeared to affect his running; his practice participation should clarify whether Miami can count on his usual scrambling threat.

Jones remained Indianapolis’s quarterback in Week 9

Daniel Jones was still at quarterback after halftime, and his Week 9 interception came on a final drive that could have put Indianapolis back in front.

Indianapolis let a late lead slip away

Indianapolis led Dallas 23-20 with less than two minutes remaining, but Dallas scored the go-ahead touchdown with 1:08 left.

Taylor had a quiet Week 9 by his standards

Jonathan Taylor gained 46 yards on 13 carries and lost a fumble against Dallas, while reported trade offers created uncertainty around his snap count and role.

Pick Ideas

Angles drawn from the matchup analysis above and refreshed as the news changes. They are a separate read from the LineCrush pick for this matchup, so the two can land on different sides.

Colts -2.5

Indianapolis is a home favorite at roughly -2.5; shop that number instead of laying an extra half-point.

Under 43.5 points

Consider the under at 43.5 if you expect a measured game rather than a shootout, and check the number and price before betting.

Jonathan Taylor anytime touchdown

Taylor played more than 60% of Indianapolis’s snaps the previous week, supporting the anytime-touchdown angle; compare the price before betting.