TROY TROJANS @ SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS

The Battle for the Belt comes to Mobile

South Alabama hosts Troy at Hancock Whitney Stadium on Nov. 14, with a 6 p.m. local kickoff on ESPN+. Both are 4-5 overall and 2-3 in Sun Belt play in 2026.

Davenport gives South a dual-threat option

In his first start since the Tulane injury, Bishop Davenport completed 16 of 22 passes for 210 yards and ran for 57 yards and two touchdowns against Louisiana on Nov. 7. His mobility could test Troy’s defense.

Troy must protect the ball

Troy committed five turnovers in its 41-17 loss to Louisiana Tech on Nov. 7, while the Bulldogs scored 21 unanswered second-half points.

South’s offense can attack on the ground or through the air

Through nine games, South Alabama averaged 207.1 rushing yards and 206.1 passing yards per game, giving it a balanced attack.

Third-down execution is a Troy concern

Through Nov. 7, Troy converted 31.1% of third downs and opponents converted 35.0%, making drive sustainability important on the road.

Pick Ideas

Angles drawn from the matchup analysis above and refreshed as the news changes. They are a separate read from the LineCrush pick for this matchup, so the two can land on different sides.

South Alabama moneyline if the price is favorable

Lean South Alabama at plus money or near even; no game-specific odds were confirmed.

Troy team total under 20.5

Consider Troy’s team-total under only at 20.5 or higher; pass below that threshold.

Over only at a modest total

Consider an over at 50 or below; skip higher numbers rather than pay an inflated total.