ASU @ UCF

One win from bowl eligibility

Both teams are 5-4, one win from bowl eligibility, setting up a high-stakes Big 12 matchup.

ASU’s front seven arrives off a disruptive performance

Against Colorado, Albert Smith III had three sacks, Owen Long tied his career best with 17 tackles, and ASU held the Buffaloes to 64 rushing yards.

Fette and Mack give ASU an unusual wrinkle

Against Colorado, Jake Fette threw for 187 yards and a touchdown, Cardae Mack threw a left-handed touchdown pass to Fette, and Reed Harris had 104 receiving yards.

UCF’s passing game has a fresh spark

In UCF’s win at Kansas, Alonza Barnett III threw for 251 yards and two touchdowns, including a 44-yard scoring pass to Josh Derry; Derry had 143 receiving yards, and Caden Piening caught the late go-ahead touchdown.

The Knights must sustain their defensive effort

UCF led Kansas 26-7 before trailing 32-26 late in the fourth quarter, making the last-second win dramatic but exposing the need for a steadier finish against ASU.

Kickoff and availability remain unsettled

The Nov. 14 kickoff remains TBA, and no Big 12 availability report has been posted, so supplied start times and early player-availability assumptions remain unconfirmed.

Pick Ideas

Angles drawn from the matchup analysis above and refreshed as the news changes. They are a separate read from the LineCrush pick for this matchup, so the two can land on different sides.

Wait for an actual market

No spread or total was posted as of Nov. 8, so wait for lines and the conference availability report before considering a pregame wager.

Conditional ASU points

If UCF is favored by more than a field goal, consider ASU with the points; otherwise pass.