NCAAF · November 13, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET
FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES @ PITT
Free LineCrush game report for FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES @ PITT on November 13, 2026, with matchup analysis and pick ideas generated for the daily slate. Reports can update as lineups, injuries, and odds develop, so confirm time-sensitive details before acting.
Matchup Analysis
Pitt gets Senior Night at Acrisure
The Friday, Nov. 13 game is scheduled for 7 p.m. at Acrisure Stadium, where 6-3 Pitt will mark Senior Night.
SourcePitt’s ground game is coming off a season-best burst
Pitt ran for 281 yards on 55 carries in its 2026 win over Georgia Tech and averaged 167.7 rushing yards per game through nine 2026 games.
SourceThomas gave FSU a timely spark
In Florida State’s 2026 win at Boston College, Amari Thomas rushed for 98 yards and two touchdowns, including the late go-ahead score. Pitt allowed opponents 68.3 rushing yards per game through its first nine 2026 games.
SourceFSU’s receiving corps must adjust without Robinson
Duce Robinson, Florida State’s 2026 receiving leader with 438 yards and four touchdowns, is out for the season with a torn ACL.
SourceCenter availability is a key FSU watch
Starting center Bradyn Welch-Joiner was carted off with a leg injury during FSU’s Nov. 7, 2026 game and did not return; Chavez Thompson replaced him, with no confirmed availability update as of Nov. 8.
SourcePitt’s passing game has had to adapt
Mason Heintschel had 1,304 passing yards and 14 touchdowns in five games before his season-ending injury, while Holden Geriner had 886 yards and four touchdowns through six games.
SourcePick Ideas
Angles drawn from the matchup analysis above and refreshed as the news changes. They are a separate read from the LineCrush pick for this matchup, so the two can land on different sides.
Pitt moneyline only at a price
Pitt is the lean at a reasonable price; ESPN’s matchup predictor gives it a 62% win probability, roughly equivalent to -163 fair moneyline odds before sportsbook margin.
Ferguson rushing yards: watch the posted number
Consider Damon Ferguson Jr. over if his rushing prop is 84.5 yards or lower; he ran for 185 yards on 31 carries against Georgia Tech.
Wait for Florida State’s team total
A Florida State team-total under 24.5 is a conditional lean; pass if the posted number is materially lower or the starting center is confirmed available.
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