Charlie Radtke vs Stephen Thompson

A Madison Square Garden farewell

Thompson has confirmed that this will be the final fight of his career, giving the matchup a personal sendoff backdrop without changing the competitive question of how he performs on fight night.

The rhythm question

Thompson's last outing was a split-decision loss to Gabriel Bonfim in July 2025, leaving a lengthy gap before this bout; how quickly he finds his timing will be worth watching.

Thompson's striking foundation

The UFC lists Thompson at 4.05 significant strikes landed per minute with 55% significant-strike defense. His cleaner path is likely to keep exchanges standing and make his kickboxing precision count.

Radtke arrives with momentum

Radtke has won his last two UFC bouts, submitting Daniel Frunza before taking a unanimous decision over Francisco Prado. That recent run gives him a chance to turn a high-profile prelim into a meaningful step forward.

No reported withdrawal in current listings

No specific injury or withdrawal report surfaced in the latest search, and the UFC's official event page continues to list the bout. Fight-week updates remain worth checking.

Pick Ideas

Angles drawn from the matchup analysis above and refreshed as the news changes. They are a separate read from the LineCrush pick for this matchup, so the two can land on different sides.

Shop for Radtke at plus money

A recent odds snapshot had Thompson around -130 and Radtke near +107. Rather than laying a larger favorite price, consider Radtke only if you can find +110 or better.

Small Radtke submission-prop sprinkle

If the submission method is offered at a substantial plus price, a small single-bet sprinkle is more sensible than making it a core wager; avoid forcing the prop at a short number.