BRENTFORD @ BRIGHTON AND HOVE ALBION

Brighton bring the division’s most productive attack

The Seagulls have scored a league-high 24 goals in nine matchweeks. Pascal Groß has been a key creator, with four assists and a division-leading 24 key passes, while Brighton have also scored seven times from set pieces.

Brighton’s press could test Brentford’s build-up

Brighton have forced a league-high 97 high turnovers, reflecting their aggressive pressure. Their 13.34 expected goals against, despite conceding only seven, suggests Brentford may still find chances if they can play through that press.

Brentford have been hard to beat away, but not to catch

The Bees have drawn all four of their league away games this season, yet arrive on a nine-match winless run in league road fixtures. They have also scored first in eight of their nine league matches, so an early breakthrough could shape the contest.

Yarmoliuk is available again for Brentford

Yehor Yarmoliuk returns to contention after completing his three-match suspension. Rico Henry and Fábio Carvalho remain sidelined, while Antoni Milambo is not yet ready for selection.

Brighton have fitness questions in attack and at full-back

Kaoru Mitoma, Stefanos Tzimas, Zadok Yohanna and Evan Ferguson are listed as unavailable. Ferdi Kadioglu is a fitness doubt, so Costinha could retain his place if the full-back is not cleared.

Pick Ideas

Angles drawn from the matchup analysis above and refreshed as the news changes. They are a separate read from the LineCrush pick for this matchup, so the two can land on different sides.

Brighton to win

Brighton moneyline is a reasonable home-side lean around even money on ESPN’s listed market. Check the price again before betting, as odds vary by book.

Over 2.5 goals

Consider over 2.5 at around -110 where available if you expect Brighton’s attacking intent to produce an open game. The price is market-dependent and can move.

Igor Thiago anytime scorer

Thiago is a Brentford scoring option to consider at roughly 2.30 decimal odds where available. This is a higher-variance play than the match result.