BUFFALO BULLS @ BALL STATE CARDINALS

Buffalo brings a four-game winning streak to Muncie

As of Nov. 3, Buffalo was 6–3 overall and 4–1 in MAC play with four straight wins, including two overtime victories; the latest was a 34–31 comeback.

Ball State’s narrow loss came with a costly penalty count

Ball State lost 31–30 in overtime at UMass on Nov. 4 despite gaining 350 yards and committing no turnovers; it was penalized 10 times for 95 yards.

Buffalo’s passing game just delivered a season-best performance

In Buffalo’s Nov. 3 win over Miami (Ohio), Jason Wright threw for 358 yards and two touchdowns, while Chance Morrow caught 12 passes for 199 yards and two scores, helping erase a 15-point fourth-quarter deficit.

Availability remains unconfirmed

No Week 11 availability report, matchup-specific injury update, or confirmed depth chart was available; recheck official information before relying on player-specific bets.

Midweek game at Scheumann Stadium

Ball State hosts Buffalo at Scheumann Stadium in Muncie on Wednesday, Nov. 11, 2026, at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN2.

Pick Ideas

Angles drawn from the matchup analysis above and refreshed as the news changes. They are a separate read from the LineCrush pick for this matchup, so the two can land on different sides.

Buffalo moneyline, subject to price

With no market line posted, Buffalo is a cautious moneyline lean; compare the eventual price with the model’s 3.9-point projection, not a sportsbook line, and avoid an excessive premium.

Pass on the total until a number is available

No verified game total was available, so there is not enough market information for a defensible over/under recommendation; reassess once a total is posted.