WNBA · July 13, 2026

Phoenix Mercury @ Minnesota Lynx

Free LineCrush game report for Phoenix Mercury @ Minnesota Lynx on July 13, 2026, with matchup analysis and pick ideas generated for the daily slate. Reports can update as lineups, injuries, and odds develop, so confirm time-sensitive details before acting.

Matchup Analysis

Lynx home dominance meets Mercury road inconsistency

Minnesota's 16-4 home record underscores a strong home-court advantage against Phoenix's 9-11 road mark.

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Slight offensive edge tilts toward Minnesota

Minnesota's 82.0 points per game slightly outpaced Phoenix's 81.5 last season, signaling a small but real offensive edge.

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Rebounding gap could fuel extra Lynx possessions

Minnesota's advantage on the glass, including 34.3 rebounds and 7.4 offensive boards, suggests more second-chance opportunities for the Lynx.

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Ball movement favors Lynx backcourt creators

Minnesota's 23.0 assists per night highlight superior ball movement that should empower creators Olivia Miles and Courtney Williams.

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Defensive profiles show clear Minnesota advantage

Minnesota held opponents to just 75.6 points per game, while Phoenix allowed 84.8 points, indicating a pronounced defensive gap.

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Shot volume suggests moderate but steady pace

With Minnesota attempting 67.3 field goals per game compared to Phoenix's 66.3, the Lynx likely control the game through slightly higher possession volume.

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Kahleah Copper as Phoenix’s offensive centerpiece

Kahleah Copper's 20.1 points per game and heavy workload position her as the primary engine for the Mercury offense.

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Pick Ideas

Minnesota team threes made over

The Lynx averaged 9.5 triples last season against a Mercury defense that allowed 9.35 makes from deep per game.

Phoenix team three-point attempts over

Phoenix averages 26.1 attempts and 8.5 makes from deep, making an attempts over attractive if the line sits below these averages.

Mercury team turnovers over vs Lynx pressure

Phoenix's 13.2 turnovers per game may increase against the defensive pressure of Olivia Miles and Courtney Williams.

Minnesota team blocks over

With Natasha Howard and Nia Coffey anchoring the defense, the Lynx are well-positioned to exceed their 4.2 blocks per game average.

Phoenix team fouls over and Lynx free throws

Phoenix's 16.9 fouls per game could lead to high free-throw volume for driving threats like Natasha Howard.