Player Prop Results for October 25, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

We went 673-748 on October 25, 2026, grading 1,421 player props. That’s a losing day, and we’re stating it plainly: more losses than wins. Below, we break down how each sport fared, highlight the biggest hits, and call out exactly where we missed.

By the Numbers

• NFL: 468-549
• NBA: 117-119
• NHL: 88-80

Biggest Wins

• Christian McCaffrey — Receptions Over 5.50: WIN, actual 6.0. LineCrush’s models leaned into his pass-game involvement, and he cleared the number by a catch. It wasn’t a blowout, but a win is a win on a finely set receptions line.
• Puka Nacua — Reception Longest Under: WIN, actual 13.0. Our analysis expected coverage to cap explosive plays, and a 13-yard longest catch kept this safely under the mark for a clean cash.
• Luka Doncic — Assists Over 8.50: WIN, actual 10.0. We projected a high-usage facilitation night, and he got to double digits, beating the line by 1.5 assists.
• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander — Assists Under: WIN, actual 5.0. The handicap anticipated scoring gravity without inflated dime totals, and 5.0 stayed under the unspecified number we targeted.
• Malik Nabers — Receptions Over 5.50: WIN, actual 7.0. Volume was the angle, and he delivered with seven catches to clear the over decisively.

Where We Missed

• Justin Jefferson — Reception Longest Over 25.50: LOSS, actual 21.0. We needed one chunk gain north of 25.5; the longest went for 21.0, and the over didn’t get there.
• Isaiah Jackson — Rebounds Over 5.50: LOSS, actual 6.0. This is a loss on the grade despite six boards. The market and rules matter: our graded outcome is a loss at Over 5.50 with 6.0 recorded in this recap data.
• Anthony Edwards — Threes Over: LOSS, actual 2.0. We looked for a higher-volume perimeter night; he finished with two made threes, short of the over target.
• Kelly Oubre Jr. — Points Under 8.50: LOSS, actual 14.0. This one wasn’t close. He cleared the under by a wide margin with 14 points, and our pick missed plainly.
• Bijan Robinson — Rush Yds Over: LOSS, actual 63.0. We needed more ground production; 63.0 rushing yards came in below the over we played.

What this day tells you: it was a high-volume slate where the NFL drove most of the action and most of the losses, the NBA was nearly even, and the NHL posted a modest winning record. The notable wins show where usage and role-based projections aligned: McCaffrey’s receptions, Nacua’s explosive-play suppression, Doncic’s facilitation, SGA’s under on dimes, and Nabers’ volume. The misses underline that a few star-centric overs didn’t land, and a couple of unders were on the wrong side of aggressive lines.

Three takeaways from the board:

• The NFL volume cut both ways: more props, more variance, and a 468-549 record that defined the day.
• NBA edges were thin: 117-119 reflects tight lines where a bucket or a board flipped multiple results.
• NHL quietly helped: 88-80 provided a positive counterweight on a red day overall.

Every pick is graded publicly on LineCrush, win or lose. You can verify each result, see the closing lines we played, and track our running record because accountability is part of the service we provide.

Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.