Player Prop Results for October 23, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

We went 328-337 on October 23, 2026, across 665 graded player props. That’s a losing day, and we’re stating it plainly: 328 wins, 337 losses. Below we break down how each sport finished, the biggest hits, and where our analysis missed.

By the Numbers

• NBA: 245-257
• MLB: 42-46
• NHL: 41-34

Biggest Wins

• Brook Lopez — Points Over 11.50: WIN, actual 22.0. Our analysis backed Lopez to clear a modest scoring line, and he more than doubled it. That’s a clean over and one of the sharper calls of the day.
• Karl-Anthony Towns — Points Rebounds Over 30.50: WIN, actual 32.0. We leaned into Towns’ combined usage, and he got over the mark with room to spare. Not a blowout, but a clear win on the multi-stat lens.
• Frank Nazar — Shots On Goal Under: WIN, actual 0.0. A perfect under. Holding to zero shots on goal is as decisive as it gets and reflects the edge our analysis found on opportunity versus role.
• Jayson Tatum — Points Rebounds Assists Over 42.50: WIN, actual 52.0. Tatum sailed past a high bar, validating the PRA over in a big way. When a star clears by nearly double digits, that’s the kind of read we want to replicate.
• Rui Hachimura — Rebounds Over 5.50: WIN, actual 6.0. This one just got there, but a win is a win. We targeted a narrow cushion on the glass and landed it.

Where We Missed

• Pascal Siakam — Points Over: LOSS, actual 23.0. We took the points over and didn’t get there. The final number stayed below the line we needed, and this lands squarely as a miss.
• Karl-Anthony Towns — Rebounds Over 11.50: LOSS, actual 10.0. Separate from the combo win, the standalone boards number fell short. We needed 12; he finished at 10. That’s on us for splitting exposure and losing the rebounds-specific angle.
• Damian Lillard — Threes Over 3.50: LOSS, actual 2.0. We asked for volume from deep and didn’t get it. Two made threes against a 3.5 line is a clear miss.
• Kevin Durant — Assists Under 3.50: LOSS, actual 6.0. We played the under, and he cleared it decisively. That’s not a bad beat—it’s just wrong. He finished well above 3.5.
• Franz Wagner — Points Over 20.50: LOSS, actual 18.0. We needed 21 and got 18. No trick bounces to blame here; it’s straightforwardly short of the mark.

LineCrush’s models produced both standout calls and clear misses on October 23. The NBA slate carried the bulk of the action at 245-257, with MLB finishing 42-46 and NHL 41-34. The day’s highlights included overs that ran comfortably ahead—Jayson Tatum (PRA 42.50 → 52.0) and Brook Lopez (Points 11.50 → 22.0)—and a pristine NHL under with Frank Nazar at 0.0 SOG. On the other side, we were flat-out wrong on several key positions: Kevin Durant’s assists under (3.50) was never live as he reached 6, and Damian Lillard didn’t approach the threes volume we needed over 3.5.

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