Player Prop Results for October 10, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

On October 10, 2026, LineCrush’s picks went 282-291 across 573 graded player props. That’s a losing day by 9 plays, and we’re stating it plainly because results matter. Our analysis graded every single prop and logged the outcomes below, with no edits after the fact.

By the Numbers

• NHL: 241-249
• MLB: 28-30
• NBA: 13-12

Biggest Wins

• Brandt Clarke (NHL) — Shots On Goal Over 1.50: WIN, actual 3.0. Clarke cleared this comfortably, delivering double the threshold our analysis targeted for a modest SOG Over.
• Tomas Hertl (NHL) — Points Under: WIN, actual 0.0. A clean Under on points; Hertl never hit the scoresheet, matching what LineCrush’s models expected given the matchup context we weighed.
• Vasily Podkolzin (NHL) — Points Over: WIN, actual 1.0. We needed a single point and got exactly that. In a tight margin play, Podkolzin’s contribution landed on the right side for us.
• Josh Norris (NHL) — Assists Under: WIN, actual 0.0. Norris stayed off the assist column, validating the Under angle. This was a straightforward read that played out as anticipated.
• Nicholas Paul (NHL) — Points Over: WIN, actual 2.0. One of the cleaner hits of the slate. Paul doubled the requirement, giving us a cushion and a high-confidence green check.

Where We Missed

• Logan Stankoven (NHL) — Shots On Goal Over 2.50: LOSS, actual 2.0. We were a shot short. No hedging here—needed three, got two.
• Miguel Vargas (MLB) — Batter Runs Scored Over 0.50: LOSS, actual 0.0. This never got there. We called for a run and he finished scoreless.
• Kirill Marchenko (NHL) — Shots On Goal Over 2.50: LOSS, actual 0.0. This one missed by a mile. We projected shot volume; the result was a complete shutout on shots.
• Jason Robertson (NHL) — Shots On Goal Over: LOSS, actual 3.0. Despite registering three shots, the Over did not cash. The number fell short of the target we needed for a win.
• Tyson Foerster (NHL) — Shots On Goal Over 1.50: LOSS, actual 1.0. One shot left us under the mark. Close, but still a red.

A few takeaways from this slate:

• Volume variance on NHL shots was the swing factor. We hit cleanly on players like Clarke while missing narrowly on Stankoven and Foerster and missing decisively on Marchenko.
• Points markets were sharper for us. Wins on Hertl Under (0.0), Podkolzin Over (1.0), and Nicholas Paul Over (2.0) underscored where LineCrush’s models found better edges.
• MLB remained thin margins. Our day on batter runs scored was negative on the Vargas Over, contributing to the 28-30 MLB line.

We don’t spin losses, and we don’t hide results. Yesterday finished 282-291 across 573 graded props, with NHL at 241-249, MLB at 28-30, and NBA at 13-12. Every pick is logged and graded publicly on LineCrush, win or lose, so you can audit our record anytime and decide which markets you want to tail next.

Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.