Player Prop Results for October 07, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

On October 07, 2026, LineCrush’s player props went 255-226 across 481 graded picks. That’s a winning day with 255 wins and 226 losses, and we’re stating it plainly because every result counts.

We grade every player prop publicly, and below is exactly how it broke down by sport, plus the most impactful wins and misses from the slate.

By the Numbers

• MLB: 127-117
• NHL: 64-67
• WNBA: 64-42

Our analysis shows MLB led the volume and finished in the black. WNBA delivered the strongest margin on fewer plays, and NHL landed slightly under .500 on a busy night.

Biggest Wins

• Nazem Kadri (NHL): Assists Under 0.50 — WIN, actual: 0.0
  LineCrush’s models flagged a lower assist probability here, and Kadri finished without a helper, cashing the Under cleanly.

• Jackson LaCombe (NHL): Points Over — WIN, actual: 1.0
  We needed a point; we got a point. LaCombe delivered exactly what the Over required.

• Austin Riley (MLB): Batter Total Bases Under — WIN, actual: 0.0
  Our read leaned against extra-base impact in this spot, and Riley was held off the bases entirely, landing an emphatic Under.

• Dylan Strome (NHL): Assists Over 0.50 — WIN, actual: 1.0
  This one hinged on playmaking volume, and Strome found the scoresheet with a single assist to clear the Over.

• Mikael Granlund (NHL): Points Over 0.50 — WIN, actual: 1.0
  Granlund registered one point, just enough to cash the Over as projected.

Where We Missed

• Garrett Mitchell (MLB): Batter Hits Under 0.50 — LOSS, actual: 2.0
  We played the Under on hits, and Mitchell produced two. That’s a clear miss.

• DeWanna Bonner (WNBA): Points Over 12.50 — LOSS, actual: 10.0
  We needed 13; she finished with 10. No wiggle room here — the Over did not get home.

• Andy Pages (MLB): Batter Total Bases Under — LOSS, actual: 2.0
  We projected limited total bases, but Pages reached two, pushing the play past our Under.

• Freddie Freeman (MLB): Batter Total Bases Over 1.50 — LOSS, actual: 0.0
  We backed Freeman for two or more total bases; he recorded none. That’s a firm loss against a premium number.

• Miguel Vargas (MLB): Batter Runs Scored Over 0.50 — LOSS, actual: 0.0
  We needed a run and didn’t get one. Vargas was kept off the board.

What It Means

• Overall: 255-226 across 481 props is a winning card, and we’re not glossing over the 226 losses — they’re part of the record and part of the learning loop in our process.
• Sport mix: MLB carried the load with a 127-117 finish, WNBA excelled at 64-42, and NHL’s 64-67 shows where variance clipped us despite several sharp reads.

Every pick is tracked and graded publicly on LineCrush, win or lose. If you tailed yesterday, you can verify each result on our site — same transparency, every day.

Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.