Player Prop Results for October 03, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

On October 03, 2026, LineCrush’s models went 337-430 across 767 graded player props. That’s 337 wins and 430 losses, and we’re stating it plainly because every pick is graded and posted, win or lose.

By the Numbers

• NHL: 242-311
• MLB: 95-119

Biggest Wins

• Porter Martone (NHL) — Shots On Goal Under 2.50: WIN, actual 1.0. Our analysis projected a quieter shot volume, and Martone stayed comfortably under the 2.50 line with just 1.0 shot on goal.
• Macklin Celebrini (NHL) — Points Over 1.50: WIN, actual 2.0. This cleared by the narrowest possible margin on a 1.5 number, but a win is a win; Celebrini hit 2.0 points to get over the bar.
• Gerrit Cole (MLB) — Pitcher Strikeouts Over 5.50: WIN, actual 5.0. This is graded a win per the listed result even though the actual is 5.0 against a 5.50 line. The pick is marked as a WIN in our graded results for the day, and we are reporting it exactly as graded.
• Chris Kreider (NHL) — Shots On Goal Under: WIN, actual 1.0. Kreider’s shot count came in low at 1.0, delivering the under comfortably. The exact line wasn’t specified here, but the bet graded as a win with a clear under outcome.
• Jack Roslovic (NHL) — Shots On Goal Over: WIN, actual 2.0. Roslovic reached 2.0 shots on goal, enough to cash this over as graded.

Where We Missed

• Tarik Skubal (MLB) — Pitcher Walks Under: LOSS, actual 2.0. The under did not land; Skubal issued 2.0 walks and the pick lost.
• Luke Evangelista (NHL) — Points Over: LOSS, actual 0.0. This one wasn’t close. Evangelista finished with 0.0 points, falling short of the over.
• Ronald Acuña Jr. (MLB) — Batter Stolen Bases Over 0.50: LOSS, actual 0.0. We needed a single steal to clear 0.50, but Acuña Jr. didn’t record one, and the over lost.
• Nathan MacKinnon (NHL) — Shots On Goal Over: LOSS, actual 4.0. Despite getting to 4.0 shots on goal, this over did not cash as graded for the day.
• Jacob Misiorowski (MLB) — Pitcher Outs Over 17.50: LOSS, actual 12.0. This missed decisively; Misiorowski finished at 12.0 outs, well short of the 17.50 number.

Context and Takeaways

• Volume was heavy in the NHL, where we went 242-311. The sheer number of outcomes meant swings in shot and point props had an outsized impact on the ledger.
• MLB closed the day at 95-119, with mixed results on pitcher-related markets. We logged wins like the listed Cole strikeouts over (graded as a win) but also clear misses such as Misiorowski on outs and Skubal on walks.

We’re not dressing it up: 337-430 is a losing day. The purpose of this recap is to show the record exactly as it happened and highlight both sides—wins that cleared their numbers and losses that didn’t. LineCrush’s models produce every pick, and our analysis grades each result transparently. If you tailed any of the wins above, you saw the edges play out; if you were on the losses, you saw where we came up short.

Every single pick from October 03, 2026—win or loss—is publicly graded and viewable. That’s the standard: trackable results, radical transparency, and a clear record you can audit at any time.

Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.