Player Prop Results for September 23, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

We went 383-396 on September 23, 2026, across 779 graded player props. That’s a losing day by 13 picks, and we’re stating it plainly. MLB carried the bulk of the volume and losses, while WNBA was a bright spot that couldn’t fully offset the deficit.

By the Numbers

• MLB: 339-369
• WNBA: 44-27

Biggest Wins LineCrush’s models landed several clean MLB tickets:

• Miguel Rojas — Batter Total Bases Under: WIN, actual 0.0. Our analysis targeted a quiet night from Rojas, and he finished with no total bases, cashing the Under without sweat.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes — Batter Total Bases Under: WIN, actual 0.0. Similar read here: Hayes was held without a base, validating the Under and adding to the MLB Unders edge among our best hits.
• Gabriel Moreno — Batter Hits Over: WIN, actual 3.0. This was a decisive Over. Moreno recorded three hits, clearing the threshold comfortably and standing out as one of the day’s strongest positive results.
• Kyle Tucker — Batter Total Bases Over: WIN, actual 2.0. Tucker did enough to get over the line with two total bases, securing the Over and reinforcing our model’s confidence in his matchup output.
• Garrett Mitchell — Batter Hits Under 0.50: WIN, actual 0.0. A no-hit game from Mitchell made this Under straightforward. When a 0.50 hits line ends at zero, it’s as clean as it gets.

Where We Missed We’re equally direct about the losses—these are the calls we didn’t get right:

• Arike Ogunbowale — Points Under 15.50: LOSS, actual 23.0. This missed by a wide margin. Ogunbowale outscored the projection by 7.5 points, and the Under never had a chance.
• Chris Sale — Pitcher Outs Under: LOSS, actual 17.0. Sale went deeper than our Under position allowed. With 17 outs recorded, he exceeded the threshold we needed to stay below.
• Pete Crow-Armstrong — Batter Stolen Bases Over 0.50: LOSS, actual 0.0. We needed one swipe and didn’t get it. With zero steals, the Over never materialized.
• Brice Turang — Batter Singles Over: LOSS, actual 0.0. This was a shutout at the plate for our specific singles angle. No singles meant a clear loss.
• Mookie Betts — Batter Total Bases Over 1.50: LOSS, actual 0.0. We took a swing on a higher total bases mark and missed completely, as Betts finished with zero.

What it means

• The day’s ledger was driven largely by MLB volume, where we finished 339-369. Even with standout wins like Moreno’s three hits and multiple Under-total-bases sweats that never got sweaty, the aggregate swung negative.
• WNBA was a net positive at 44-27, but misses like the Ogunbowale Under at 15.50 were decisive singles in the wrong direction on a prop-by-prop basis.

Every pick is graded publicly on LineCrush, win or lose. If you tailed, you saw the same numbers we did: 383 wins, 396 losses, 779 total. Our commitment is radical transparency—yesterday’s results are posted, tracked, and there to learn from on the next slate.

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