Player Prop Results for September 22, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

Player Prop Results for September 22, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

September 23, 2026
The LineCrush Team
2 min read
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We went 420-449 on September 22, 2026, across 869 graded player props. That’s a losing day, and we’re stating it plainly: more losses than wins.

Every result below is graded from LineCrush’s models and posted publicly, win or lose.

By the Numbers

  • MLB: 367-380
  • WNBA: 53-69

Biggest Wins

  • Shakira Austin (WNBA) — Points Assists Over: WIN, actual 26.0. Our analysis flagged Austin’s combined scoring and table-setting as a solid upside spot, and she cleared the mark decisively with 26.0 in Points+Assists.
  • Ronald Acuña Jr. (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under 1.50: WIN, actual 0.0. The Under cashed cleanly with no total bases recorded, a sharp read from LineCrush’s models on limiting extra-base damage.
  • Freddie Freeman (MLB) — Batter Hits Over 0.50: WIN, actual 2.0. Freeman delivered multiple knocks, validating the Over 0.50 hits position and turning it into a comfortable win.
  • Yordan Alvarez (MLB) — Batter Hits Runs RBIs Over 2.50: WIN, actual 6.0. This was the standout performer of the slate; Alvarez more than doubled the threshold, stacking counting stats across hits, runs, and RBIs.
  • Elly De La Cruz (MLB) — Batter Stolen Bases Over: WIN, actual 1.0. Speed played as projected, with De La Cruz swiping a bag to get the Over home.

Where We Missed

  • Napheesa Collier (WNBA) — Points Over 19.50: LOSS, actual 9.0. This one wasn’t close. We needed 20; Collier finished with 9.0 points, well short of the number.
  • Cody Bellinger (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under 1.50: LOSS, actual 4.0. The Under was wrong. Bellinger reached four total bases, more than doubling the threshold.
  • Freddie Freeman (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under 1.50: LOSS, actual 2.0. On a separate market from his hits Over win, the Total Bases Under missed. Freeman got to 2.0 total bases, clearing the 1.50 line.
  • Megan DiLeo (WNBA) — Points Under: LOSS, actual 14.0. The Under did not land; with 14.0 points, this result moved against our position.
  • Adley Rutschman (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under: LOSS, actual 5.0. A clear miss. Rutschman piled up 5.0 total bases, far beyond an Under target.

What this means for bettors looking back at yesterday: we had bright spots, particularly with Yordan Alvarez smashing his combo line and a handful of sharp reads on MLB hitters and a WNBA combo Over. But the slate netted negative with a 420-449 record, and several high-profile Unders—across Bellinger, Freeman (TB), and Rutschman—went the other way. The WNBA side also trended unfavorably at 53-69, highlighted by the Collier Points Over miss, which fell well short of 19.5.

LineCrush’s models produce edges prop by prop, and some days the distribution clusters against us. Yesterday was one of those days. We’ll keep grading every pick publicly so you can see the wins and the misses in full: exact lines, actuals, and results, posted without edits.


Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.

The LineCrush Team

About The LineCrush Team

The LineCrush Team delivers data-driven sports analysis, voice intelligence, and predictive insights for NBA, NFL, and other major sports. Follow us for research strategies, game previews, and performance breakdowns.

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