Player Prop Results for September 21, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

Quick recap: LineCrush went 153-161 on September 21, 2026, across 314 graded player props. That’s a losing day overall, with more losses than wins. Here’s exactly how it broke down, what hit, and where our analysis missed.

By the Numbers

• MLB: 70-74
• NFL: 50-52
• WNBA: 33-35

Our analysis grades every pick, win or lose. Below are the specific standouts from the day, exactly as they landed.

Biggest Wins

• Jaxson Dart (NFL): Rush Yds Under 32.50 — WIN, actual: 0.0
  LineCrush’s models were firmly on the under, and this one cleared by a wide margin with zero rushing yards allowed.

• Isaiah Likely (NFL): Reception Tds Under — WIN, actual: 0.0
  A clean under on touchdowns; no trips to the end zone kept this home.

• Pete Alonso (MLB): Batter Total Bases Over — WIN, actual: 8.0
  Massive over. Eight total bases is a dominant result and one of the clearest edges of the slate.

• Davante Adams (NFL): Receptions Over 5.50 — WIN, actual: 8.0
  Volume came through. Adams comfortably topped the receptions line with eight grabs.

• Leonie Fiebich (WNBA): Points Under 8.50 — WIN, actual: 1.0
  The under cashed easily here, with just a single point scored.

Where We Missed

• James Wood (MLB): Batter Stolen Bases Over 0.50 — LOSS, actual: 0.0
  We needed a swipe and didn’t get one. No steals means this over did not land.

• Sabrina Ionescu (WNBA): Points Under 14.50 — LOSS, actual: 15.0
  The under missed by the slimmest margin. She finished at 15.0, just over the number.

• Devin Singletary (NFL): Receptions Over — LOSS, actual: 0.0
  This never got started. Zero receptions made the over dead on arrival.

• Shane Baz (MLB): Pitcher Outs Under 17.50 — LOSS, actual: 20.0
  Baz worked deeper than projected. Reaching 20 outs pushed this under to a clear loss.

• Davante Adams (NFL): Reception Tds Under — LOSS, actual: 2.0
  We were on the under for touchdowns, and Adams found the end zone twice. That’s a straightforward miss.

Final Word

Every pick above—and all 314 from September 21—is graded publicly by LineCrush, win or lose. We post the real records daily, including losses, so you can see exactly how our analysis performed.

Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.