Player Prop Results for September 20, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

We went 914-959 on September 20, 2026, across 1,873 graded player props. That’s a losing day, and we’re stating it plainly: more losses than wins. LineCrush’s models had mixed reads by sport, with a few sharp unders in the NFL standing out alongside some misses that cost us.

Every result below is graded and final for 9/20/26.

By the Numbers

• NFL: 625-651
• MLB: 225-262
• WNBA: 64-46

Biggest Wins

• Jayden Reed (NFL) — Reception Yds Under 37.50: WIN, actual 4.0
  Our analysis was firmly on the under, and it cleared by a wide margin. Holding at just 4.0 receiving yards turned this into one of the cleanest wins of the slate.

• Jordan Love (NFL) — Rush Yds Under 8.50: WIN, actual 0.0
  LineCrush’s models leaned under on his ground production, and the zero rushing yards result validated that position decisively.

• Bijan Robinson (NFL) — Receptions Under 4.50: WIN, actual 3.0
  We projected limited target conversion relative to the line, and 3.0 receptions kept this comfortably under.

• Chris Olave (NFL) — Reception Longest Under 24.50: WIN, actual 21.0
  The cap on his longest catch landed as expected. Topping out at 21.0 yards stayed beneath 24.50, giving us a precise, data-aligned under.

• Ladd McConkey (NFL) — Reception Yds Under: WIN, actual 35.0
  With receiving yards landing at 35.0, the under cashed. This was consistent with our conservative outlook on his yardage profile for the day.

Where We Missed

• George Pickens (NFL) — Reception Longest Over: LOSS, actual 12.0
  We needed an explosive play that didn’t materialize. A 12.0-yard longest catch came up short of what an over position requires.

• Michael Conforto (MLB) — Batter Hits Runs RBIs Under 1.50: LOSS, actual 3.0
  We were under on his combined production, and he beat it solidly at 3.0. That’s a clear miss against the 1.50 line.

• Garrett Wilson (NFL) — Receptions Over 5.50: LOSS, actual 5.0
  This came down to the hook. We were on the over, but landing at 5.0 receptions left us half a catch shy.

• Chris Olave (NFL) — Reception Yds Under 70.50: LOSS, actual 86.0
  While we hit his longest reception under, we missed the full-yardage under. At 86.0 receiving yards, he cleared 70.50, and our under didn’t get there.

• George Kittle (NFL) — Reception Yds Under 40.50: LOSS, actual 80.0
  This wasn’t close. Kittle doubled the line with 80.0 yards, and our under stance was wrong.

We grade every pick publicly, win or lose. If you want to see how each individual prop shook out on September 20, 2026—along with today’s live picks—LineCrush’s models and full results are posted in real time.

Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.