Player Prop Results for September 17, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

Yesterday’s picks went 298-303 across 601 graded player props on September 17, 2026. That’s a losing day, and we’re stating it plainly: more losses than wins overall. LineCrush’s models had bright spots in WNBA and select NFL/MLB props, but the aggregate tally finished under .500.

By the Numbers

• MLB: 195-202
• WNBA: 63-51
• NFL: 40-50

Our analysis grades every prop the same way, sport by sport, and the totals above reflect all finalized results for September 17, 2026.

Biggest Wins

• Kyle Harrison (MLB) — Pitcher Outs Under: WIN, actual 5.0
  LineCrush’s models flagged downside risk on Harrison’s length, and the Under cashed decisively with just 5.0 outs recorded. When a low-outcome like this hits, it leaves very little sweat and validates a strong Under edge on pitcher workload.

• Paige Bueckers (WNBA) — Points Under 21.50: WIN, actual 19.0
  Our analysis leaned Under on Bueckers’ scoring. She finished at 19.0, staying comfortably below 21.50. That cushion suggests the projection was aligned with her usage and game pace on the night.

• Josh Allen (NFL) — Pass Yds Under 253.50: WIN, actual 248.0
  Allen landed at 248.0 passing yards, slipping under 253.50. It wasn’t a blowout Under, but the result stayed on the right side of the number, reflecting a tighter passing script than a typical high-ceiling Allen outing.

• Jahmyr Gibbs (NFL) — Rush Yds Under 89.50: WIN, actual 52.0
  A clear Under. Gibbs closed at 52.0 rushing yards, well beneath 89.50. The gap indicates the rushing volume and efficiency didn’t materialize at the level implied by the line.

• Chelsea Gray (WNBA) — Points Under 11.50: WIN, actual 5.0
  This one sailed home. Gray finished with 5.0 points, putting the Under beyond doubt and matching the conservative scoring outlook flagged by our analysis.

Where We Missed

• Brandon Lowe (MLB) — Batter Home Runs Over: LOSS, actual 0.0
  We took a swing on power that didn’t show. With 0.0 home runs, the Over never threatened and the read didn’t materialize.

• Jameson Williams (NFL) — Receptions Over 3.50: LOSS, actual 2.0
  The volume wasn’t there. Williams ended at 2.0 catches, well short of 3.50, making this Over a clear miss.

• Freddie Freeman (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under: LOSS, actual 2.0
  Freeman reached 2.0 total bases, pushing past the Under position. Even a modest extra-base outcome or a pair of singles can clip an Under here; it did.

• Miguel Rojas (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under: LOSS, actual 5.0
  This one missed decisively. Rojas finished at 5.0 total bases, far above our Under posture.

• Josh Allen (NFL) — Rush Yds Under 31.50: LOSS, actual 69.0
  We were on the Under for Allen’s rushing, and he doubled that line with 69.0 yards. The rushing involvement and chunk gains outpaced our expectation, and the Under wasn’t close.

No hedging, no spin — these are straight misses based on the final stats for each prop.

Every pick is graded publicly on LineCrush, win or lose. You can verify all 601 graded player props from September 17, 2026, and track how our analysis performs over time — transparently, every day.

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