On September 07, 2026, LineCrush’s models went 226-258 across player props, for 484 graded picks. That’s a losing day, and we’re stating it plainly: more losses than wins.

We grade every prop the same way—against the posted line with the actual result—then publish it publicly, win or lose. Here’s exactly how it broke down.

By the Numbers

MLB: 226-258

Biggest Wins

Chase Burns (MLB) — Pitcher Outs Under: WIN, actual 9.0. Our analysis projected a shorter outing, and the number landed well beneath the outs threshold, validating the Under on workload.
Shohei Ohtani (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under 1.50: WIN, actual 0.0. With a 1.50 bases line, Ohtani finished with nothing on the ledger, a clean Under that never sweated.
Jacob Lopez (MLB) — Pitcher Earned Runs Over 2.50: WIN, actual 4.0. The Over required three or more; he allowed four earned runs, clearing the number decisively.
Corbin Carroll (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under 1.50: WIN, actual 0.0. Carroll didn’t record a base, putting the Under home comfortably against a 1.50 line.
Turner Hill (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under: WIN, actual 0.0. The Under landed without resistance as Hill finished with zero total bases.

Where We Missed

Tommy Edman (MLB) — Batter Singles Over 0.50: LOSS, actual 0.0. We needed a single; he didn’t record one. That’s a straightforward miss on a binary Over.
Nick Pivetta (MLB) — Pitcher Outs Under 12.50: LOSS, actual 15.0. The angle was an earlier hook; instead, Pivetta worked deep, clearing the Under by a wide margin.
Joe Ryan (MLB) — Pitcher Outs Under: LOSS, actual 12.0. We were positioned against length, but he reached 12 outs and beat the Under call.
Brett Baty (MLB) — Batter Hits Under 0.50: LOSS, actual 1.0. Any hit loses this Under; Baty recorded exactly one, and the pick graded a loss.
Teoscar Hernandez (MLB) — Batter Hits Under 0.50: LOSS, actual 2.0. Not close—Hernandez posted two hits, comfortably busting the Under.

What the Day Looked Like

Volume: 484 graded MLB props gave us a wide sample, and the record—226-258—reflects a day where edges didn’t convert often enough.
Profile of wins: The best results clustered around Unders on total bases and pitcher workload, plus a sharp Earned Runs Over.
Profile of losses: We missed on several binary Under/Over spots where a single hit or deeper pitching outing flipped outcomes against us.

Accountability, Every Day

LineCrush posts every pick and grades them all publicly—wins and losses, nothing hidden. Yesterday finished 226-258 on MLB props, and that full ledger is live so you can audit every call. Our models will keep adjusting to the market, but the grading won’t change: the number, the actual, the result—always on the record.

Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.